Wednesday, January 28, 2015

NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 29 & REVIEW

ZIGZAG MOVEMENTS

Astro Info :: Moon transits in  Krittikia and Rohini  in Taurus.   
Tithi : Sukla Dasami  ; Weekday:: Thursday;  Combination of Thithi and Weekday is generally auspicious.
Individuals born in Gemini and Libra   signs and in Punarvasu, Visakha and Poorvabhadra   constellations    may remain cautious in their transactions.
Nifty Range of Thursday and Friday(Combined High and Low of these Two days i.e., 22 and 23 January) may be regarded as the reference range for the next Three weeks and can be expected to be bullish above the High of this range and Bearish below the low of this range. Now the range is  8866 and 8727 and Hence further bullish above 8866 and Bearish below 8727 and neutral in between these levels.
Since it has closed above the high of the above range, first target is 9010.

Senstive time:: 10.15AM; 11.40AM; 1.25 TO 2.20PM; 2.45PM;



Market Outlook for Thursday, 29th January, 2015
Nifty rallied to surpass  previous day’s high but met with huge selling after 12.30pm to get into the negative zone and finally closed flat for the day.  Selling at higher levels was evident in the market. While Nifty has been going up, Advance Decline ratio is negative suggesting a weak market in general.
Stop loss for Nifty long positions may be trailed to 8800 (on close basis). Nifty spot is expected to encounter resistance at 8950, 8985 and find support at 8870, 8830 for  Thursday.   While Global cues, Quarterly results   and  Funds flow  are expected to broadly guide the market movement, based on the present market position, market  is expected to trade in a zigzag manner with stock specific movements in view of derivative expiry. Further, closing session could face selling pressure.

Trading strategy :: 
In view of Derivative expiry scrip specific movement is to be expected. Nifty is expected to face seling pressure towards close , after 2.30pm.,  Hence caution at higher levels after 2pm.,  Better forenoon can be expected.
Breakout / Break Down Levels::
Breakoutlevel  is 9013 and Breakdown level 8845 for Nifty spot for Thursday .,  It is unlikely that both levels would be breached., If Breakout level is breached., It is a Buy on Decline with Low as Stop loss and if Breakdown level is breached, It is a sell on rise with high as stop loss. Alternatively, if Nifty is unable to cross the Breakout level, short positions, can be considered with Breakout as stop loss and unable to breach the breakdown level, long positions can be considered with Breakdown level as stop loss. 

FIRST DROP IN 9 DAYS

The benchmark Sensex today hit all-time high of 29,786.32 but ended 11.86 points down at 29,559.18, its first drop in nine sessions, on profit-booking in capital goods, metal and auto shares ahead of the outcome of US Federal Reserve policy meeting. Nervousness also played on investors' minds ahead of the expiry of monthly futures and options contracts tomorrow, traders said, adding that participants took some money off the table after the massive over 2,200-point rally in eight days. However, the NSE Nifty index finished higher by 3.80 points, or 0.04 per cent, to close at 8,914.30. Intra-day, it hit a high of 8,985.05. The Nifty has gained 636.75 points or 7.69 per cent in nine straight days of gain. Consumer Durables, Realty and IT bluechips firmed up, helping the index end in the positive zone. "Profit booking was seen in market ahead of expiry of January derivative contracts. Investors also remain cautious ahead of US Federal Reserve's announcement later in the day," said Religare Securities, President-retail distribution, Jayant Manglik. Globally, Asian stocks ended mixed as reports said US earnings and durable-goods orders disappointed investors. Key benchmark indices in Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan and South Korea ended higher by 0.20 per cent to 0.47 per cent while indices in China and Taiwan moved down by 0.11 per cent to 1.41 per cent. European markets were also trading narrowly mixed as key indices Germany and the UK moved up by 0.04 per cent to 0.09 per cent while France's CAC was quoting down by 0.20 per cent.
 

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