It
may be sheer coincidence that all monetary policy reviews by RBI
Governor Raghuram Govind Rajan this fiscal have taken place on
Tuesdays and this would be the case for the upcoming review this week
as well. In the current fiscal beginning April 1, 2014, Rajan has
undertaken four monetary policy reviews so far and the fifth would
take place on December 2, with all these five being on Tuesdays. The
former chief economist of IMF, who took over as RBI Governor on
September 4, 2013, came out with four policy reviews during the
previous fiscal as well and two of them took place again on Tuesdays.
The other two reviews by Rajan were on Wednesday and Friday last
fiscal. As a result, six out of eight monetary policies announced by
him during his entire tenure so far have been on Tuesdays. The ninth
review, scheduled for this week, takes place on a Tuesday where RBI
is widely expected to keep the benchmark rate unchanged.
Incidentally, Rajan has maintained the benchmark interest rate in all
four reviews so far in the current fiscal citing high inflation, even
as there has been a growing clamour for rate cuts by industry, the
government and economists among others. Surprising the industry and
analysts completely, the RBI Governor in his first policy review in
September last year raised the short-term policy (repo) rate by 0.25
per cent to 7.5 per cent to keep "worrisome" inflation
under check. His fight against stubborn inflation gained pace the
following month as well when he again hiked the repo rate by a
quarter of a percentage point to 7.75 per cent. Rajan put a pause on
rate hike on December 18, 2013 but said the RBI will hike interest
rates if inflation does not subside in line with the expected
declining trend. Not happy with the inflation trend, RBI did hike
repo rate by 0.25 per cent the very next month that is in January 29,
2014 by 0.25 per cent to 8 per cent. Since then, the central bank has
left its benchamark rate unchanged despite pressure from all
quarters.
Sunday, November 30, 2014
NEW PLANCOM MAY BE ANNOUNCED THIS MONTH
Work
has moved into top gear for finalising the name and structure for the
new institution that will replace the 64-year old Planning Commission
and the same may be unveiled this December. "The Prime Minister
has convened a meeting of the Chief Ministers on December 7 to seek
their view points on the structure of the institution which would
ultimately replace the Planning Commission," an official source
said. The Commission has received many suggestions regarding the name
and role of the new body. Some of the suggested names are Sustainable
Development Commission, National Development Agency, Social Economic
Development Commission or Bharat Pragati Lakshya. Besides, there have
been reports about the new body being named as Niti Aayog or Policy
Commission. The new institution, which is likely to be headed by the
Prime Minister as was the case in Planning Commission, may have four
divisions-- Inter-state council, plan evaluation office, UIDAI and
DBT. All the divisions would have experts from the Centre and state
governments as also experts from the industry. The Direct Benefit
Transfer (DBT) Mission earlier was part the Planning Commission but
was moved to the Finance Ministry later. According to sources, the
new body could also be the secretariat for the inter-state council
which is at present under the home ministry and met rarely during the
UPA term. This council used to meet regularly during the previous NDA
regime. Prime Minister Narendra Modi in his Independence Day speech
had announced that the Commission would be abolished and replaced
with a more relevant institution. Since then the Commission has held
several meetings with experts to discuss the new structure of the
proposed institution. Country's first Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru
had set up the Planning Commission to steer the nation's economic
destiny at that time. Set up by a Cabinet Resolution, the Commission
has enjoyed power and prestige with Prime Minister as its Chairman.
Its most important functions have been fixing targets for sectoral
growth and allocate resources. The Deputy Chairman of the Commission
has often been a political stalwart holding the rank of a Cabinet
Minister. Gulzarilal Nanda, V T Krishnamachari, C Subramaniam, P N
Haksar, Manmohan Singh, Pranab Mukherjee, K C Pant, Jaswant Singh,
Madhu Dandavate, Mohan Dharia and R K Hegde had been deputy chaiman
at differnt points of time.
Montek Singh Ahluwalia was the last deputy chairman.
Montek Singh Ahluwalia was the last deputy chairman.
WEEKLY ASTRO TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR NIFTY
CAUTION
@ HIGHER LEVELS
During
the current week Moon would be transiting from Uttarabhadra in
Pisces to Krittika in Capricorn .
Sun
transits in Anuradha and Jyeshta in
Scorpio.
Mercury
transits in Anuradha and Jyeshta
constellations in Scorpio .
Venus
transits in Jyeshta in Scorpio.
Mars ,
exalted, transits in Uttarashadha constellation in
Capricorn .
Saturn
transits in Scorpio in Visakha constellation and Leo
Navamsa.
Jupiter
transits in Cancer in Aslesha constellation in
Pisces navamsa ..
Nifty
range of 1st December and 2nd December would be
the reference range for December and Nifty can be considered bullish
above the high of the range and can be considered bearish below the
low of the aforementioned range.
Nifty
Outlook for Next Week :: (01.12.2014 to 05.12.2014) …
NIFTY
:: 8588 (+111) (RBI Policy holds the Key)
Nifty
rallied for the Sixth week in a row. However the net rise during Four
weeks has been relatively small aggregating about 3%. Bank stocks
were the main contributors for the current rally as interest rate cut
is around the corner. With sagging GDP growth, interest rate
cut is a necessity now and RBI has the best opportune time to
respond. Market discounts future events in advance and rate cut
appears most likely. “Buy on Rumour and Sell on News” is the
saying of the market. In the event of a rate cut, market could give
up some of the gains due to profit booking etc., before another cycle
of uptrend. On the other hand, if there is no rate cut too, market
would be disappointed and would fall. In either case, caution is the
buzzword for the week and a reasonable correction could set in either
this week or next week. Further, Government could push certain
reform bills in the forthcoming winter session of Parliament.
Sentiment is upbeat because renewed FII interest, reforms by the
Government and proactive nature of the present Government and global
cues. However, short term uptrend is already Six weeks old and a
small correction (week on week) is overdue and can be expected
sooner than later. In view of the above, scrip specific approach is
to be followed in general . Despite the Nifty’s gain for the last
Six weeks, range of Nifty during November is quite narrow (less than
4%) and a wide range month can be expected during December.
All
eyes are on RBI as market is expecting a rate cut and if the market
is disappointed on this count, a sizeable correction can be expected.
Present positive Macro factors would have their positive effect
on corporate earnings with a lag effect and the market is ahead of
fundamentals. Falling crude and commodity prices coupled with lower
interest cost (rate cut to be announced) would all help improve
corporate earnings next year and market appears to have largely
factored them in their prices. All in all, Stock market is a
barometer of the economy and foretells future in advance. Despite
these positive factors, market appears to be generally fully
priced and stock picking is the only way to perform in the market.
Next Big event is Budget and big bang reforms can be expected in the
budget.
Nifty
is once again above all short term moving averages and is
infact at a new HIGH. However, in view of the overbought position,
traders need to be vigilant and high degree of caution with proper
risk management is necessary. Short term correction is only a matter
of time and leveraged positions need to be properly protected.
20DMA,
50DMA, 100DMA and 200 DMA are placed at about 8400, 8140, 7970 and
7380 respectively and would
act
as supports / resistances.
Nifty
continues to be above 200 DMA and 50 DMA too is above 200 DMA (Golden
Cross) suggesting that the long term bullish trend is
intact. Nifty is quoting at a PE of about 22, which is
about 22% above the long
term PE multiple. Expected target for the year was 8500 (as
being reported in this column for the last Four months ) has been
reached ahead of time. Next big events are Government’s
reform process (GST Bill) and Budget.
Strong
long term support would be around 7380 level and Medium term support
is 7970. Short term support is at 8450 and Nifty would become weak
only on a close below 8450..
For
the coming week, Nifty spot is expected to face resistance at 8680,
8775, 8870 and find support at 8495, 8405, 8310.
Minor
resistances may be found at 8690, 8765, 8815 and minor supports
at 8485, 8410, 8360.
For short term Nifty is bullish and would become bearish only if it closes below 8450 in first half of the week and below 8500 in Second half of the week.
Breakout
level for the week is 8665 and break down level for the week is 8380.
Break out level for December is 8700 and Break down level for
December is 8200. Unless 8700 is decisively crossed, further uptrend
for December is unlikely.
Friday, November 28, 2014
USERS TURNING TO WeChat, WhatsApp
An
increasing number of people are now using mobile messaging apps like
WeChat and WhatsApp to communicate with their friends rather than
using social networking platforms such as Facebook and Google+,
according to GlobalWebIndex (GWI) Research. While social networking
is one of the fastest rising online activities -- up 187 per cent
globally and 242 per cent in Asia Pacific region -- the gap between
users with accounts and those actively using is significant. GWI
surveyed about 42,000 respondents in the Asia Pacific region,
including 5,000 respondents in India during the year. According to
GWI, 83 per cent Internet users had Facebook accounts, but only 47
per cent actively used the website. In India, 93 per cent said they
had a Facebook account but only 48 per cent had active usage. Also,
the number of global users using Facebook to message a friend has
continued to decline from 512 million in Q1 2013 to 402 million in Q4
2013 to 313 million in Q3 2014. About 28 per cent of respondents from
India said they "logged in to see what's happening without
posting/commenting on anything myself" on Facebook, Twitter (23
per cent) and Google+ (21 per cent). At the same time, number of
people using mobile messaging services has increased from 446 million
in Q1 2013 to 538 million in Q4 2013 and 616 million in Q3
2014.
Respondents said they were not interested in using Facebook like before, they were bored or generally spending less time on social networks as top reasons for using the world's largest social networking lesser.
According to GWI, the top reasons for this surge in usage includes messaging apps being free (45 per cent), being quicker than using social networks or text messages to speak to people (41 per cent) and lots of friends using them (41 per cent). In Asia Pacific, WeChat was the dominant messaging app (337 million), WhatsApp led the pack in India. "Mobile messaging tools have experienced substantial growth during this recent period, particularly amongst the younger generation. Social networks are now being treated more passively, the number of people messaging friends on social networks is now declining," GlobalWebIndex Head of Trends Jason Mander told reporters here. People are now seeing mobile messaging apps as a more efficient way to communicate, he added. "In the last year, the Indian mobile messaging audience grew by 113 per cent, we expect the number of mobile messaging users to continue to grow in the coming quarters," he said. He added that smartphones are vital to Internet users in India, where 79 per cent of the online population own a smartphone. "The users of mobile messengers are young, affluent and highly active online," Mander said.
Respondents said they were not interested in using Facebook like before, they were bored or generally spending less time on social networks as top reasons for using the world's largest social networking lesser.
According to GWI, the top reasons for this surge in usage includes messaging apps being free (45 per cent), being quicker than using social networks or text messages to speak to people (41 per cent) and lots of friends using them (41 per cent). In Asia Pacific, WeChat was the dominant messaging app (337 million), WhatsApp led the pack in India. "Mobile messaging tools have experienced substantial growth during this recent period, particularly amongst the younger generation. Social networks are now being treated more passively, the number of people messaging friends on social networks is now declining," GlobalWebIndex Head of Trends Jason Mander told reporters here. People are now seeing mobile messaging apps as a more efficient way to communicate, he added. "In the last year, the Indian mobile messaging audience grew by 113 per cent, we expect the number of mobile messaging users to continue to grow in the coming quarters," he said. He added that smartphones are vital to Internet users in India, where 79 per cent of the online population own a smartphone. "The users of mobile messengers are young, affluent and highly active online," Mander said.
FUND RISING VIA QIP Rs 30,000 cr
Indian
firms have garnered about Rs 30,000 crore through the Qualified
Institutional Placement (QIP) route in the first ten months of this
year, much higher than Rs 12,634 crore raked up in the entire 2013.
Moreover, market experts believe that the fund raising through this
route is likely to go up further as many companies have lined up with
their plans. According to latest update available with the market
regulator Sebi, companies have mopped up Rs 29,582 crore through 33
QIP issues during January-October period of 2014. There was a large
gap between the capital raised through QIPs and funds garnered via
other routes. A total of Rs 4,733 crore was raked up through rights
issue, while Rs 1,522 crore mopped up via initial public offerings
(IPOs) during January-October period of the year. Market experts said
that return of investor confidence in the equity markets has
encouraged some of the large firms to mop up funds through the QIP
route. Interestingly, most of the funds were raised through QIP
issuances after the election verdict was announced in May, thus
clearly showcasing the revival of investor sentiment, backed by a
strong secondary market, experts said. Among the firms which garnered
funds via QIP segment this year included SBI, Yes Bank, Idea Cellular
and Reliance Communications. Most of the funds were raised for
expansion purpose and to support working capital requirements. The
fund raising was in line with the soaring markets where the benchmark
Sensex gained around 32 per cent in the first ten months of the year.
GOA DESTINATION OF CHOICE
Goa
has continued to be the destination of choice for travellers and has
bagged the 'Favourite Leisure Destination in India' award by Conde
Nast Traveller India.
"Right now, we are focused on improving our infrastructure and other related facilities, so that Goa continues to remain a favourite," Goa Tourism Minister Dilip Parulekar said in a release.
The fact that Goa offers so much for tourists makes it an easy choice when it comes to planning a holiday, Goa Tourism Director Ameya Abhyankar said.
"We are conscious of the fact that tourism is poised for growth in the country and we are taking steps to ensure that Goa leads the way for this growth," he added.
Goa Tourism is also planning to introduce services like sea-planes, heli-tourism and has recently started a 'Hop On, Hop Off' bus tour facility during the ongoing St. Francis Xavier Exposition in old Goa.
"The fact that these awards have been endorsed by readers, who are or have been tourists in Goa, adds credibility to the fact that our state continues to be the destination of choice for travellers in and out of India," Goa Tourism Development corporation (GTDC) Chairman Nilesh Cabral added.
"Right now, we are focused on improving our infrastructure and other related facilities, so that Goa continues to remain a favourite," Goa Tourism Minister Dilip Parulekar said in a release.
The fact that Goa offers so much for tourists makes it an easy choice when it comes to planning a holiday, Goa Tourism Director Ameya Abhyankar said.
"We are conscious of the fact that tourism is poised for growth in the country and we are taking steps to ensure that Goa leads the way for this growth," he added.
Goa Tourism is also planning to introduce services like sea-planes, heli-tourism and has recently started a 'Hop On, Hop Off' bus tour facility during the ongoing St. Francis Xavier Exposition in old Goa.
"The fact that these awards have been endorsed by readers, who are or have been tourists in Goa, adds credibility to the fact that our state continues to be the destination of choice for travellers in and out of India," Goa Tourism Development corporation (GTDC) Chairman Nilesh Cabral added.
NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 1st DEC & REVIEW
MID
SESSION BETTER
Nifty
8588 +94
Nifty
opened with a huge gap following positive macro cues due to sharp
fall in Crude Prices and closed with a gain of more than 1%. Bank
stocks gained the most ahead of RBI policy next week. Further, Short
term trend continues to remain positive and stoploss may
be raised to 8450 (on close basis). Nifty spot is
expected to encounter resistance at 8625,, 8660 and find support at
8545, 8510 for Monday. While Global cues and
Funds flow are expected to broadly guide the market movement,
based on the present market position, market is expected to
experience volatile / zigzag movements with better midsession and
possible profit booking towards close.
SENSEX VALUATION @ 100 TRILLION RUPEES
Stocks continued their upward sprint for the third straight session today with benchmark Sensex galloping 255.08 points to 28,693.99 and Nifty surging 94.05 points to 8,588.25 as tumbling oil prices strengthened the case for a rate cut by the RBI next week. Brent crude oil contracts for January settlement were trading around USD 72/barrel, the lowest level since August 2010. Falling oil price is good news for India, which imports 80 per cent of its requirements. This will also help the country narrow its Current Account Deficit. Stocks related to oil like oil marketing companies, airlines, paint makers attracted heavy buying interest. Shares of banks, automobile makers and realty firms spurted on rising hopes of a rate cut on December 2. Besides, select NBFCs saw heavy investor interest after RBI yesterday unveiled final guidelines for small finance banks and payments banks. All eyes are now on quarterly GDP data to be released later today. The BSE 30-share Sensex resumed better and shot up to log new life time high of 28,822.37. It shed some gains on weak European cues but nevertheless settled at yet another closing peak of 28,693.99, up 255.08 points or 0.90 per cent. In three days, the index has gained over 355 points. Similarly, the broader 50-issue NSE Nifty also flared up by 94.05 points, or 1.11 per cent, to register fresh closing peak of 8,588.25. It also hit new intra-trade peak of 8,617. "Sentiments were buoyed by OPEC's decision to sustain production levels and the subsequent sharp fall in crude prices. Markets are hoping for a rate cut in the RBI policy meeting next week," said Dipen Shah, Head of Private Client Group Research, Kotak Securities. Meanwhile, total investor wealth in Indian stock market intra-day today hit a record high above Rs 100 lakh crore. It settled at over Rs 99,81,550 crore at close, up by over Rs 87,550 crore from yesterday's levels.
BSE listed firms' market value hits Rs 100-trillion mark
In a new milestone, the total market valuation of all listed firms at the BSE today hit a record high of Rs 100 trillion -- marking ten-times rise in Indian stock markets' investor wealth in little over a decade.
The landmark level was reached in early morning trade when the market capitalisation (m-cap) rose to Rs 100.01 lakh crore, but slipped marginally below this level at the close of trading hours.
At the end of the day, the total market value of all BSE listed companies stood at Rs 99,81,572 crore -- which was less than 0.2 per cent away from the Rs 100-trillion level, as benchmark Sensex continued its record rally with a gain of over 255 points.
BSE is among the world's ten largest exchanges in terms of market value, while it is the largest globally for number of firms listed on its platform. It has over 4,000 actively traded companies and nearly 2.7 crore investors trade on it.
Terming this milestone as a reflection of India's potential as a new age powerhouse, BSE CEO Ashishkumar Chauhan said, "We believe India will use capital market mechanism more over the period to help do wealth creation and job creation."
In the US dollar terms, the BSE market cap now stands at over USD 1.6 trillion and it has added more than USD 500 billion (Rs 29 lakh crore) this year itself.
The total market cap has more than doubled in the last five years from Rs 50 lakh crore in 2009, while it has grown ten-times since first scaling Rs 10 lakh crore level in 2003.
The Sensex has gained 7,268.23 points or 34.33 per cent so far this year. Continuing its dream-rally, the index hit its all-time high of 28,822.37 today.
The 30 Sensex companies alone, which are among the biggest companies in the country, now account for nearly 50 per cent or about Rs 47 lakh crore of total investor wealth.
This includes TCS, the country's most valued firm and the only entity to have a market value of over Rs 5 lakh crore, followed by state-run ONGC and private sector behemoth Reliance Industries with market caps of over Rs 3 lakh crore each.
Wednesday, November 26, 2014
INDIAN TRUCK INDUSTRY - FACTS
The
Indian trucking industry has around 5.6 million vehicles on the road
and needs around 700,000-800,000 new truck drivers every year,
reveals a survey conducted by the Indian Foundation of Transport
Research and Training (Delhi). An estimated 80% of the freight in
India moves on road rather than rail, with trucks doing most of the
carriage. Unfortunately, India tops the chart in road accidents
leaving behind all countries. Data compiled by NCRB shows that about
1,39,000 people die in road accidents every year, out of which 26,678
people die due to sleep deprivation. This occurs as drowsy driving is
still an elusive highway dilemma for the truck drivers during
transit. According to a sample survey of drivers conducted by the
Institute of Road Traffic Education (IRTE) in 2013, about 29% drivers
were found suffering from sleep disorder. Also about 20% accidents
across the globe occur due to 'driver fatigue'.
In
the year 2006, Mr. Ramesh Agarwal and Mr. Rajender Agarwal, of
Agarwal Packers & Movers Ltd [http://www.agarwalpackers.com
].(APML), felt that in order to drive the nation's economy towards a
positive end, constantly and consistently, drivers were the key
drivers of economy and a survey was conducted, the revelations of
which were very shocking and alarming.
Year No. of the drivers available/per 1000 vehicles
1982 1310
1992 1000
2002 890
2012 750 In 2022, it will be at an astounding 480 drivers per 1000 trucks.
Year No. of the drivers available/per 1000 vehicles
1982 1310
1992 1000
2002 890
2012 750 In 2022, it will be at an astounding 480 drivers per 1000 trucks.
For
a man who had the transportation business at the heart of his
venture, this seemed like an unbelievably wretched and disturbing
situation. For next few months, Ramesh Agarwal's thoughts only
focused on how he could revive this class and re-establish its
identity in the society, so that their work is acknowledged by all.
When he became the National President of All India Transporter's
Welfare Association (AITWA) in 2007, it was then that he pledged to
work towards for the upliftment of the drivers.
"It
was a very appalling issue that the driver who is responsible for the
major section of transportation was treated so shabbily and with
disrespect, despite being on road in the direst situations and having
no relief at all since he has to 'deliver'. At times while driving,
the situation for drivers is so pathetic that one cannot leave a
truck unattended even for a minute, even to attend nature's call. But
what rankles above all is the treatment meted out to truck drivers by
policemen," said Rajender Agarwal, who has himself travelled in
the trucks to gauge the issues related to the trucking industry.
The
following statistics speak of the lives and pathetic conditions of
poor drivers who are available in all terrains, be it any season or
weather:- - Drivers cannot have uninterrupted sleep for more than
2:40 hours/day - Drivers die at least 10 years before the normal
human life span. - About 22% of the drivers remain unmarried
throughout their life. - 26% of the total trucks viz. approximately
23 lakh vehicles remain halted every day due to unavailability of
truck drivers.
Realizing
their Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) towards the drivers
community, Mr. Ramesh Agarwal, Chairman - Agarwal Movers Group, has
set the prototype by establishing the 1st "Driver Seva Kendra
[http://www.agarwalpackers.com/csr.html#driver-seva-kendra ]" of
the country, situated at the Jaipur - Kishangarh highway (NH-8),
which is built on a sprawling 50 acres plot, and has a building with
over 500 cots and fans for the drivers to have an uninterrupted rest.
Allied facilities include barbers, large bathrooms and toilets,
arrangement for parking vehicles. All these facilities are provided
free of cost. The motels/dhabas that function here provide good and
hygienic food at zero profit. Also available is a small retail shop
where there are commodities available for daily needs at very
reasonable rates.
A small 'truck repair centre' is also available where drivers can have their vehicle repaired whenever required at nominal charges. It's a place where they feel at home. The drivers come here to sleep and refresh themselves. These elementary essentials at present are being used by 450-500 truck drivers each day, numbering to 15,000 trucks a month. If we analyse the ratio, then the results are overwhelming as this single Driver Seva Kendra has been able to save 41 lives each month through a simple concept of "Nidra Daan".
In
his recent communication, Shri Ramesh Agarwal said, "We are
trying to make this profession more dignified so that drivers may get
their due place in society. It's a great challenge and we all must
work at the ground level to alleviate their tattered souls. Not only
has the Kendra preserved the ease of making them feel at home, but,
also provides all the facilities necessary to make the drivers' job
easier." He further added: "Only when the drivers have a
respectable life and they get all mandated benefits, more people will
join the profession. Any policy framed or initiatives undertaken will
take some time to be implemented and reap the benefits, so we really
need to gear up fast." About APML Over the last 27 years,
Agarwal Packers & Movers Ltd has become a company of national and
international repute and has enormous credentials to its name
including the highest accolade being acknowledged in the Limca Book
of Records [http://www.agarwalpackers.com/why-agarwal-packers.html ]
for the largest movers of household goods in the country. APML has
successfully done more than 14 lakh household shifting, and is the
most desirable packer and mover in India.
OIL PRICE FURTHER FALLS
BARREL
$ 78
Oil
prices extended losses in Asia today as speculation swirls that the
OPEC oil cartel will maintain output at this week's closely watched
meeting despite a global supply glut. US benchmark West Texas
Intermediate (WTI) for January delivery fell 24 cents to USD 73.85
while Brent crude for January eased 17 cents to USD 78.16 in
mid-morning trade. WTI dived USD 1.69 yesterday while Brent closed
down USD 1.35. "At the moment, the outcome of the OPEC meeting
on Thursday is very much trumping all other factors," Daniel
Ang, investment analyst at Phillip Futures in Singapore, told AFP.
"Prices have come under pressure after the meeting between some
OPEC members and Russia saw no real concrete measures announced
regarding production cuts," Ang said. Members of the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and non-member
producers including Russia held talks yesterday ahead of the cartel's
key output meeting tomorrow. After the meeting, Venezuelan Foreign
Minister Rafael Ramirez said all parties agreed that the current
price of crude "is not good". "We discussed the
situation on the market, we shared our points of view and we agreed
to keep in contact, and we will meet again in three months," he
added. Separately, Russian oil giant Rosneft said it had trimmed
output by 25,000 barrels partly in response to sliding prices. The
token reduction represented less than one percent of the behemoth's
total and did little to boost energy prices on depressed global
commodity markets. Tomorrow's meeting in Vienna of OPEC, whose dozen
members together pump out about one-third of the world's crude, is
its most significant in recent years. The cartel is under pressure
from its poorer members such as Venezuela and Ecuador to cut output
after tumbling prices have slashed their precious revenues. Crude
prices have sunk 30 per cent to four-year lows since June on the back
of plentiful supplies, a strong dollar and worries about stalling
energy demand in a weak global economy.
Sunday, November 23, 2014
WEEKLY ASTRO TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR NIFTY
BULLISHNESS WITH STOCK SPECIFIC MOVEMENTS
For short term Nifty is bullish and would become bearish only if it closes below 8350 . Further Nifyt has been trading in a narrow range for the last Three weeks with bullish bias and is presently at the upper end of the range and a firm close above 8535 would reinforce further bullishness for the next week.
Planetary
Position :: During
the current week Moon would be transiting from Jyeshta in
Scoripio toDhanishta in Capricorn .
Sun
transits in Anuradha in Scorpio.
Mercury
transits in Visakha and Anuradha
constellations in Libra and Scorpio .
Venus
transits in Jyeshta in Scorpio.
Mars
transits in Uttarashadha constellation in Sagittarius
and Capricorn .
Saturn
transits in Scorpio in Visakha constellation and Cancer
Navamsa.
Jupiter
transits in Cancer in Aslesha constellation in Pisces navamsa
..
By
the end of the week astro month would be complete and Nifty has been
trading above the higher end of the reference range and can be
expected to meet the Second target.
Nifty
Outlook for Next Week :: (24.11.2014 to 28.11.2014) …
NIFTY
:: 8477 (+87) (Scrip Specific Movements)
Nifty
rallied for the Fifth week in a row. However the net rise during
Three weeks has been relatively small. Current week rise came on the
last day of the week followed by global cues. Bank stocks were the
main gainers because of forthcoming credit policy and the mega
merger of Kotak and ING Vysya. Further, Government could push
certain reform bills in the forthcoming winter session of Parliament.
Further, Sentiment is upbeat because renewed FII interest, reforms by
the Government and proactive nature of the present Government and
global cues. However, short term uptrend is already Five weeks old
and a small correction (week on week) is overdue and can be
expected sooner than later. In view of the above, scrip specific
approach is to be followed in general and in particular during the
current week in view of derivative expiry. Despite the Nifty’s gain
for the last Five weeks, movement during the last Three weeks is
quite narrow and could be expected to witness a wider range during
the next week.
All
eyes are on RBI as market is expecting a rate cut and if the market
is disappointed on this count, a sizeable correction can be expected.
Present positive Macro factors would have their positive effect
on corporate earnings with a lag effect and the market is ahead of
fundamentals. Falling crude and commodity prices coupled with lower
interest cost (rate cut to be announced) would all help improve
corporate earnings next year and market appears to have largely
factored them in their prices. Despite these positive factors, market
appears to be generally fully priced and stock picking is the
only way to perform in the market. Next Big event is Budget and big
bang reforms can be expected in the budget.
Nifty
is once again above all short term moving averages and is
infact at a new HIGH. However, in view of the overbought position,
traders need to be vigilant and high degree of caution with proper
risk management is necessary.
20DMA,
50DMA, 100DMA and 200 DMA are placed at about 8275, 8100, 7920 and
7320 respectively and would
act
as supports / resistances.
Based
on the present Government’s agenda, Infra and Power sectors
could come out of their problems
soon
. Stocks of promoters with proven record may be preferred in these
sectors. Further Realty sector index appears to have bottomed out and
appears due for an uptrend , hence stocks with competent management
may be considered.
Investors
need to accumulate quality stocks while traders need to be ever
vigilant.
Nifty
continues to be above 200 DMA and 50 DMA too is above 200 DMA (Golden
Cross) suggesting that the long
term bullish trend is intact. Nifty is quoting at a PE of
about 21.50, which is about 20% above the long term PE multiple.
Expected target for the year was 8500 (as being reported in this
column for the last Four months ) and is being reached ahead of time.
Next big events are Government’s reform process (GST Bill) and
Budget.
Strong
long term support would be around 7325 level
and Medium term support is 7925. Short term support is at 8350 and
Nifty would become weak only
on
a close below 8350..
Technical
Levels ::
For
the coming week, Nifty spot is expected to face
resistance
at 8570, 8660, 8755 and find support at 8385, 8295, 8205.
Minor
resistances may be found at 8550, 8600, 8635, 8690 and minor
supports at 8405, 8355, 8320, and 8265.
For short term Nifty is bullish and would become bearish only if it closes below 8350 . Further Nifyt has been trading in a narrow range for the last Three weeks with bullish bias and is presently at the upper end of the range and a firm close above 8535 would reinforce further bullishness for the next week.
Breakout
level for the week is 8535 and break down level for the week is 8310.
Advice
for Traders ::
Nifty’s
uptrend continued for the Fifth week while the movements were very
narrow during last Three weeks. Macro fundamentals are improving with
falling crude , metal prices and falling inflation. Market is looking
to RBI policy for further directional movement. For the current week,
bullish break out level is 8535 and a firm close above that level
would mean further rise during the week. Further, in view of
derivative expiry , scrip specific movement is most likely.
Sunday, November 16, 2014
CONNAUGHT PLACE...A PUBLIC WiFi SPACE
Visitors
to Connaught Place can now enjoy free Wi-Fi connectivity. Telecom
company Tata Docomo has joined hands with the NDMC for providing the
service in the commercial hub in the heart of the national
capital.
"NDMC has partnered with Tata Teleservices to provide Wi-Fi service, which will cover the inner and outer circles of one of the most significant business and leisure centres in the city," Tata Docomo said in a statement.
The first 20 minutes of the service would be free of cost and after that one has the options of buying a recharge card, starting from Rs 10 for 30 minutes, Rs 20 for 60 minutes and Rs 50 for 180 minutes, it said.
Launching the service, BJP leader Meenakshi Lekhi said: "These initiatives are in line with Prime Minister Narendra Modi's vision of a Digital India, which would enable greater transparency and better governance".
Tata Docomo already provides such facilities in other public areas including T3 International Airport.
"NDMC has partnered with Tata Teleservices to provide Wi-Fi service, which will cover the inner and outer circles of one of the most significant business and leisure centres in the city," Tata Docomo said in a statement.
The first 20 minutes of the service would be free of cost and after that one has the options of buying a recharge card, starting from Rs 10 for 30 minutes, Rs 20 for 60 minutes and Rs 50 for 180 minutes, it said.
Launching the service, BJP leader Meenakshi Lekhi said: "These initiatives are in line with Prime Minister Narendra Modi's vision of a Digital India, which would enable greater transparency and better governance".
Tata Docomo already provides such facilities in other public areas including T3 International Airport.
WEEKLY ASTRO TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR NIFTY
Caution
at Higher Levels ….!!!
Planetary
Position :: During
the current week Moon would be transiting from Uttara in Leo
to Visakha in Libra.
Sun
transits in Visakha and Anuradha in
Scorpio.
Mercury
transits in Visakha constellation
Libra .
Venus
transits in Anuradha in Scorpio.
Mars
transits in Poorvashadha constellation in Sagittarius .
Saturn
transits in Scorpio in Visakha constellation and Cancer
Navamsa.
Jupiter
transits in Cancer in Aslesha constellation in
Pisces navamsa ..
Sun
Saturn conjunction on Nov 18 is to be watched for any trend reversal.
Nifty is trading above the high of Monthly astro reference range and
the stop loss is 8295 (below which it becomes bearish for the month)
Nifty
Outlook for Next Week :: (17.11.2014 to 21.11.2014) …
NIFTY
:: 8390 (+53) (Short term Bearishness below 8300….)
After
Two weeks’ of smart rally Nifty moved in a small range for the last
Two weeks and appears to be consolidation zone for a Breakout /
Breakdown. Macro factors were quite positive with better than
expected IIP growth and cooling inflation. There is a good case for
interest rate cut and market has been moving up in expectation of a
rate cut which appears imminent. Stock market is usually ahead of
fundamentals and corporate results are yet to catch up with improved
fundamentals. Falling crude and commodity prices couple with lower
interest cost (rate cut to be announced) would all help improve
corporate earnings next year and market appears to have largely
factored them in their prices. Despite these positive factors, market
appears to be fully priced and stock picking is the only way to
perform in the market. Next Big event is Budget and big bang reforms
can be expected in the budget.
Nifty
is once again above all short term moving averages and is
infact at a new HIGH. However, in view of the over bought position,
traders need to be vigilant and high degree of caution with proper
risk management is necessary.
20DMA,
50DMA, 100DMA and 200 DMA are placed at about 8130, 8060, 7875 and
7265 respectively and would
act
as supports / resistances.
Nifty
continues to be above 200 DMA and 50 DMA too is above 200 DMA (Golden
Cross) suggesting that the
long
term bullish trend is intact. Nifty is quoting at a PE of
about 21.35, which is about 20% above the long term PE multiple.
Hence, further upside ( 8500+ is possible before
next Budget). It is a record PE multiple in the recent times
signalling caution.
Strong
long term support would be around 7275 level and Medium term support
is 7875. Short term support is at 8300 and Nifty would become weak
only on a close below 8300.
Technical
Levels ::
For
the coming week, Nifty spot is expected to face
resistance
at 8480, 8575, 8665 and find support at 8300, 8205, 8115.
Minor
resistances may be found at 8425, 8450, 8465, 8490 and minor
supports at 8355, 8330, 8315, and 8285.
For short term Nifty is bullish and would become bearish only if it closes below 8300 . Further Nifyt has been trading in a narrow range for the last Two weeks and a firm close above 8400 is bullish while a close below 8300 would take it downwards.
Breakout
level for the week is 8445 and break down level for the week is 8275.
Advice
for Traders ::
Nifty’s
uptrend continued for the Fourth week while the movements were very
narrow during last weeks. Macro fundamentals are improving with
falling crude , metal prices and falling inflation. Market is looking
to RBI policy for directional movement. However, in view of the
recent smart rise, retracement is most likely before the policy. In
view of the narrow movement during the month so far, a directional
movement on either side (8550 on the upperside or 8100 on the
downside) is likely before the end of the month. Stock specific
approach may be followed.
BLACK MONEY TRIAL SHIFTS TO ISLAND NATIONS
As
India expands its probe into suspected black money stashed abroad,
the trail appears to have gone much beyond the Alpine mountain ranges
of Switzerland to various island nations and global financial centres
like Dubai, Singapore, Luxembourg and Cyprus. While Switzerland has
agreed to cooperate and share details in cases where probe by Indian
authorities have independently shown 'tax crimes' prima facie, "a
few cases" where such information exchange is taking place
involve entities and transactions much beyond Swiss shores. While
exact number of these "few cases" could not be ascertained,
sources said that the ongoing cooperation between Swiss and Indian
authorities is generating many more leads for further investigations
and they suggest routing of funds through various other jurisdictions
that range from well- established financial centres like Dubai,
Singapore and Luxembourg to numerous small island nations. India is
strengthening its bilateral tax information exchange treaties with
many such jurisdictions, but a further push might be required for
'technical assistance'. While Switzerland has been the focus of
India's fight against suspected black money stashed abroad,
investigations into various cases show large-scale instances of
illicit funds having been channelised abroad through other locations
too. A number of island nations in Caribbean and other parts of the
world figure among such locations. India has also signed information
exchange pacts on tax matters with a number of such locations
including Saint Kitts & Nevis, Bahamas, Bermuda, Liechtenstein,
Gibraltar, British Virgin Islands, Isle of Man, Cayman Islands,
Jersey, Macau, Liberia, Argentina, Guernsey and Monaco, among others.
A Special Investigation Team is currently looking into the black
money issue, including the cases related to untaxed money stashed
abroad by Indians. In one of its reports recently submitted to the
government, the SIT, however, observed that absence of riminal legal
treaties between India and tax haven nations is one of the major
impediments in initiating steps to bring back illegal funds stashed
abroad by Indians. The role of some banks, including those outside
Switzerland, has also come under scanner for acting in concert with
the suspected black money hoarders and also for making 'safe haven'
promises for their funds. The suspected lapses on the part of these
banks are also being probed for allegedly facilitating re-routing
funds of certain Indian corporate houses back into their listed
companies as foreign investments. Such transactions are suspected to
have taken place in case of 15-20 Indian companies, a senior official
said, but refused to disclose their names as also that of the banks
saying it might impede the investigations.
SEBI HELPS US REGULATOR TO BUST SOCIAL MEDIA FRAUDSTERS
In
one of the biggest cross-border regulatory cooperation, markets
watchdog Sebi has helped its counterpart in the US bust a major
investment scam being run through online social media platforms. The
'Profit Paradise' scam was being run by two Indians -- one based in
Mumbai and another in Hyderabad -- in the name of a 'High Yield
Investment Product (HYIP)' wherein gullible investors were being
enticed through pervasive social media pitches on Facebook, Twitter,
Google Plus and YouTube. Such FYIP schemes have become very popular
on various online platforms, wherein the operators solicit
investments in securities, but most of them have turned to be yet
another frontier for defrauding gullible investors in name of high
and quick returns. In the latest case, the operators of 'Profit
Paradise' were inviting investors to deposit funds that would
supposedly be pooled with other investors' funds to make "huge
profits" in forex, stocks, and commodity trading. Although
operating from India, they disguised Profits Paradise's physical
location by providing the false Internet data, indicating that Profit
Paradise's operations were within the United States when they were
not. While probing the case, the US markets regulator SEC (Securities
and Exchange Commission) sought assistance from its peers in India,
Canada and Hong Kong. After completing the probe and announcing
charges against the two Indians, Pankaj Srivastava and Nataraj
Kavuri, SEC said it "appreciates the assistance of the
Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) as well as the Autorite
des Marches Financiers in Quebec, the Ontario Securities Commission,
and the Securities and Futures Commission in Hong Kong." The
case is being seen as one of the biggest in terms of cross-border
cooperation among regulators to crack down on illicit investment
schemes. Both Sebi and SEC are members of International Organisation
of Securities Commission (IOSCO), an international policy forum for
securities regulators that also sets global standards for securities
regulation. Sebi and SEC are also signatory to the IOSCO MMoU which
represents a common understanding amongst its signatories about how
they will consult, cooperate, and exchange information for capital
market enforcement purposes. The MMoU sets an international benchmark
for cross-border co-operation. In the present case also, Sebi
extended all necessary assistance to the SEC within the framework of
IOSCO-MMoU. As per latest available data, Sebi received as many as 94
requests from overseas securities regulators for information during
2013-14 -- more than double of what it had got in each of the two
preceding fiscal years.
Sebi
had received 40 requests from foreign peers in 2012-13, while it had
got 37 requests in 2011-12. At the same time, Sebi made 17 requests
to capital markets regulators in other countries for information in
2013-14 as against 9 requests in the previous financial year. This is
the highest number of requests sent out by the Indian market watchdog
since 2011-12. The capital market regulator had sent out 9 requests
each for regulatory assistance in 2011-12 and 2012-13 to foreign
securities market watchdogs. Sebi has in place a robust system for
information sharing and coordination with foreign regulators to nab
manipulators and fraudsters operating across boundaries in a
globalised world. In 2003, Sebi had signed the International
Organisation of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) multi-lateral
memorandum of understanding (MMoU) for mutual assistance on
enforcement and compliance of regulations with several countries
including Securities Exchange Commission of US. One of the IOSCO
principles require the regulators to establish information sharing
mechanisms, which set out when and how they will share both public
and non-public information with their domestic and foreign
counterparts. "As a crucial part of its commitment towards the
IOSCO MMoU concerning consultation and cooperation and the exchange
of information, to which Sebi has been a signatory since April 2003,
Sebi provides cooperation and facilitates exchange in other
jurisdictions," the market regulator said in its latest annual
report for the year 2013-14. In the Profit Paradise case, SEC has
charged Pankaj Srivastava and Nataraj Kavuri of offering "guaranteed"
daily profits by anonymously soliciting investments for their
purported investment management company. The SEC has charged that the
guaranteed returns were false, and that the investments being offered
bore the hallmark of a fraudulent high-yield investment program.
Srivastava and Kavuri attempted to conceal their identities by
supplying a fictitious name and contact information when registering
Profits Paradise’s website address. They also communicated under
the fake names of 'Paul Allen' and 'Nathan Jones'. After the SEC
began its investigation into the investment offering, the Profits
Paradise website was discontinued.
GOVT TO AMEND CONSUMER LAW
With an aim to empower consumers, the government plans to amend a law to allow customers to file case against sellers from their place of residence. As per current norms, the case has to be filed at the place of transaction. Also, the requirement of engaging lawyers in the consumer forums is likely to be done away with, if the goods or services availed is of less than Rs 2 lakh value. According to sources, the Ministry of Consumer Affairs proposes to bring amendments to the Consumer Protection Act, 1986 to make it more effective. The proposed amendments would be sent to the Cabinet for approval after seeking views from other ministries, they added. The objective for bringing in amendments is to protect consumer rights by simplifying the judicial process to ensure speedy and inexpensive justice. "Currently, customers have to file case against sellers from the place where they have bought the goods. We propose to allow customers to file the case from the place where they reside," a source said, while giving details about changes proposed by the Ministry. "No lawyers shall be permitted for both the parties (consumers and sellers) if the value of good or service is less than Rs 2 lakh," the source said, adding that mediation between both the parties would be allowed except in certain cases. The amended Act is likely to have provisions to cover e-commerce companies and some other service providers like Railways and courier firms. To make the complaint registration procedure simpler for consumers, the Ministry has not prescribed any fixed format and the complaints can also be made online. After 21 days, the complaints would be deemed to be accepted. Concerned over the pending cases in consumer forums, sources said the department has proposed that there would be only one stage for appeal in higher forum. Recently, Food and Consumer Affairs Minister Ram Vilas Paswan had said that the government plans to make amendments in the Consumer Protection Act to "make it more effective as protection of consumers in terms of quality, quantity and safety is of utmost importance." The government has proposed an authority under this law to protect consumers against unfair trade practices and also to keep a close watch on various consumer services also, he had said. Sources said the Central Consumer Protection Authority would be like an investigating agency, which will take up cases suo moto or complaints involving more than one person. It will promote, protect and enforce consumer rights and even recall hazardous products.
1 STOCK @ A PRICE OF SMART PHONE
As
stock market continues its record-breaking rally, there are many
shares with per-unit price running into thousands of rupees and equal
the cost of buying a smartphone, a LCD television or even a split AC.
Helped by the new government's reform push and growing expectations
for better economic scenario, the foreign funds have been on a buying
spree in stock market and the benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty have
scaled new peaks above 28,000 and 8,400 levels, respectively. The
Sensex has rallied by 33 per cent so far this year, making India the
best performer among the world's ten biggest markets. At the same
time, stock prices of at least 37 companies, out of the top-100
listed firms in India, now cost Rs 1,000 or above for one share, as
per the stock exchange data. Leading the charts in terms of per-share
value, Bosch commands a share price of Rs 16,571 apiece, while Eicher
Motors and Shree Cements have share prices of Rs 14,001 and Rs 9,077,
respectively. The market value of just one share of P&G, GSK
Consumer Healthcare and Nestle is also in the range of Rs
5,000-6,500. Companies like Maruti Suzuki, Dr Reddy's, Oracle
Financial Services, Grasim and Infosys command a price of Rs
3,000-4,000 per share. For blue-chips like TCS, SBI, Bajaj Auto,
Ultratech Cement, Tech Mahindra and Hero MotoCorp, the per-share
price is Rs 2,000-3,000, while others in this bracket include United
Spirits, Colgate and GSK Pharma. Those with share price in the range
of Rs 1,000-Rs 2,000 include ICICI Bank, HDFC, Aurobindo Pharma, ACC,
Britannia and AB Nuvo. Outside the top-100 companies also, there are
many with share prices running into thousands of rupees and one
notable stock among them is MRF which currently commands a share
price of Rs 32,337.60 apiece.
Friday, November 14, 2014
INFLATION AT 5 YEAR LOW
Continuing
decline in food prices, including vegetables, pulled wholesale price
inflation to a five year low of 1.77 per cent in October.
The Wholesale Price Index (WPI) based inflation was at 2.38 per cent in September and 7.24 per cent in October 2013.
As per data released by the government today, the food inflation fell to a nearly two-and-half year low of 2.7 per cent. Food inflation is on decline since May.
The sharp drop in WPI inflation, which fell for the fifth month in a row, came at the back of retail inflation declining to a record low of 5.52 per cent in October.
The rate of price rise in onion contracted 59.77 per cent as compared to a contraction of 58.12 per cent in September.
In case of vegetables, the contraction was 19.61 per cent, while in protein rich items of egg, meat and fish it was 2.58 per cent in October.
During the month, inflation in potato stood at 82.11 per cent, against 90.23 per cent in the previous month.
Inflation in manufactured products, like sugar, edible oils, beverages and cement, fell to 2.43 per cent in October as against 2.84 per cent in the previous month.
The Wholesale Price Index (WPI) based inflation was at 2.38 per cent in September and 7.24 per cent in October 2013.
As per data released by the government today, the food inflation fell to a nearly two-and-half year low of 2.7 per cent. Food inflation is on decline since May.
The sharp drop in WPI inflation, which fell for the fifth month in a row, came at the back of retail inflation declining to a record low of 5.52 per cent in October.
The rate of price rise in onion contracted 59.77 per cent as compared to a contraction of 58.12 per cent in September.
In case of vegetables, the contraction was 19.61 per cent, while in protein rich items of egg, meat and fish it was 2.58 per cent in October.
During the month, inflation in potato stood at 82.11 per cent, against 90.23 per cent in the previous month.
Inflation in manufactured products, like sugar, edible oils, beverages and cement, fell to 2.43 per cent in October as against 2.84 per cent in the previous month.
RETAIL PARTICIPATION IN MFs INCREASE
Retail
participation in mutual funds from beyond the top 15 cities in the
country has increased remarkably in the past 18 months, due to joint
efforts made by the MF houses and stock market regulator SEBI, says
AMFI. The MF industry's assets under management (AUM) crossed Rs
1,07,000 crore from retail investors living in places beyond the top
15 cities as on October 31.
It was a 33 per cent growth over 18-month. As on March 31, 2013 the AUM was Rs 65,000 crore, according the Association of Mutual Funds in India. The AUM relate to equities, equity-linked saving schemes (ELSS) and the balanced funds which essentially involves retail participation, the industry body said. "We have crossed the Rs 1 lakh crore mark in AUM from beyond 15 cities during past 18 months after we started the journey to reach retail equity investors living in 400 centres located in Tier-II and Tier-III cities, beyond the top 15 cities of the country," AMFI chief executive H N Sinor told PTI here. "This is a major indication of increased retail participation in equities," he added. "While we have achieved 20 per cent of overall retail participation, we have also been able to mobilise 10 per cent of overall AUM from 400 centres which are located beyond top 15 cities of the country comprising semi-urban and even rural areas," he said. After the global slump of 2008, stock market regulator SEBI had come up with guidelines to re-energise the mutual fund industry. These guidelines had allowed the industry to take additional 30 basis points of already existing expense ratio which could be used to incentivise distributors across slabs to give a push to sales of mutual fund products.
It was a 33 per cent growth over 18-month. As on March 31, 2013 the AUM was Rs 65,000 crore, according the Association of Mutual Funds in India. The AUM relate to equities, equity-linked saving schemes (ELSS) and the balanced funds which essentially involves retail participation, the industry body said. "We have crossed the Rs 1 lakh crore mark in AUM from beyond 15 cities during past 18 months after we started the journey to reach retail equity investors living in 400 centres located in Tier-II and Tier-III cities, beyond the top 15 cities of the country," AMFI chief executive H N Sinor told PTI here. "This is a major indication of increased retail participation in equities," he added. "While we have achieved 20 per cent of overall retail participation, we have also been able to mobilise 10 per cent of overall AUM from 400 centres which are located beyond top 15 cities of the country comprising semi-urban and even rural areas," he said. After the global slump of 2008, stock market regulator SEBI had come up with guidelines to re-energise the mutual fund industry. These guidelines had allowed the industry to take additional 30 basis points of already existing expense ratio which could be used to incentivise distributors across slabs to give a push to sales of mutual fund products.
Asset
management companies (AMC) are allowed to keep aside 2.5 per cent of
their AUM as fee in case their AUM is less than Rs 100 crore. The fee
is decreased to 2 per cent if AUM goes up to Rs 300 crore and 1.75
per cent in case the AUM goes beyond Rs 300 crore. However, since
April 2013, Securities and Exchange Board of India has allowed them
to charge 50 basis points additional amount in the form of management
fee in each of the slabs which they can use to incentivise their
agents so that they could increase their penetration in Tier-II and
Tier-III cities. Secondly, it has allowed MF houses to use two basis
points of their AUM for creation of awareness among investors.
Thirdly, market conditions have improved helping achieve such a
result, as per AMFI. Besides, mutual fund houses adopted several
districts on a voluntary basis which also attracted investors from
smaller towns towards mutual funds. "So far, we have adopted 187
districts across the country. While large mutual funds have adopted
around ten districts, medium mutual fund houses have adopted around
five districts and small mutual fund houses adopted two districts on
their own," Sinor said. "It all has helped the industry
increase the number of folios to 2.04 crore as against 1.83 crore
folios it had received in March, 2013 which shows an increase of 20
lakh folios during past 18 months," he added.
NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 17 & REVIEW
FORENOON
BETTER
Nifty
8390 +32
Nifty
traded with positive bias through out the day and closed at the
highest level for the week and week closed with a gain of about
0.60%. Nifty has been moving in a narrow range of 8300 and 8420 for
the last Eight trading sessions and a clear breakout /
breakdown appears imminent in a day or Two. If it
breaks out on the upper side(closing above 8400), Nifty could go upto
8500 / 8550. Short term trend continues to remain positive
and stoploss may be continued at 8300 (on close
basis). Nifty spot is expected to encounter resistance at
8430,, 8465 and find support at 8350, 8315 for Monday. While
Global cues and Funds flow are expected to broadly
guide the market movement, based on the present market position,
market can be expected to be generally better in the forenoon
session.
MARKET CLOSE ON RECORD HIGHS
Stock market indices today scaled record
highs on sharp fall in wholesale inflation, persistent foreign capital
inflows and good bluechip earnings with benchmark Sensex rising 106.02
points to end at fresh closing peak of 28,046.66. Similarly, buying
mainly in realty, metal and refinery counters lifted the NSE Nifty index
by 32.05 points, or 0.38 per cent, to end at new closing high of
8,389.90. The wholesale price inflation dropped to a 5-year low of 1.77
per cent in October due to fall in food prices. The Wholesale Price
Index (WPI) based inflation was at 2.38 per cent in September and 7.24
per cent in October 2013. This data comes after easing of consumer
price index. "We expect that milder-than-expected inflation and low
industrial growth are strong reasons to expect a 25-bp policy rate cut
at the RBI's coming 2nd December monetary policy meet," said a Anand
Rathi Institutional Research report. Besides, data showing that Foreign
Portfolio Investors (FPIs) buying shares worth a net Rs 690.61 crore
yesterday, also gave a boost to the buying momentum. "News flow both
domestic and globally has been in favour of equity markets and that
makes Indian markets one of the favourite destinations for the flow of
risk investments," said Hiren Dhakan, Associate Fund Manager, Bonanza
Portfolio. In bluechip earnings, State-run State Bank of India posted
30.5 per cent growth in net profit at Rs 3,100.41 crore for the quarter
ended September 30, pushing its shares up by 2.55 per cent. The BSE
Sensex resumed higher at 27,949.54 and shot up further to 28,093.23
before concluding at all-time closing high of 28,046.66, a gain of
106.02 points or 0.38 per cent. The CNX 50-share Nifty also firmed up
by 32.05 points or 0.38 per cent to all-time closing high of 8,389.90
after touching a high of 8,400.65.
Thursday, November 13, 2014
KASHMIR SAPPHIRE SOLD @ RECORD PRICE
A
rare step-cut Kashmir sapphire in rich velvety blue has sold for a
world record at a Sotheby's auction in Geneva, where it fetched USD 6
million. "A rare 27.54 carat step-cut Kashmir sapphire which
exhibited a rich, saturated velvety blue colour achieved USD
5,984,474, a world auction record for a Kashmir sapphire,"
Sotheby's said in a statement. The gem was purchased by a buyer from
Asia, auctioneers said. Previous record was set by a Kashmir sapphire
weighing 28.18 carats when it sold for USD 5,093,000 at Sotheby's New
York in April 2014. Kashmir sapphires sport a rich lustrous blue
colour often compared to that of a cornflower. In the 1880s a
landslide in Kashmir, caused the legendary sapphires to be
discovered. With a limited production, Kashmir sapphires make up a
tiny percentage of the world's total sapphire supply. The American
Gemological Laboratories labels this stone a "Classic Kashmir,"
denoting that it not only exhibits the classic gemological features
of the Kashmir region, but also represents the top quality of stones
from the region. Meanwhile, the sale of "Magnificent and Noble
jewels" on November 12 was led by a 'Graff Ruby' from the
collection of Dimitri Mavrommatis. The 8.62 carat cushion-shaped
gemstone soared above estimate and set a world auction record for a
ruby at USD 8,600,410, as well as a record price per carat for a ruby
at USD 997,727 when it sold to Laurence Graff, auctioneers said.
Another highlight of the sale was a natural pearl and diamond
necklace formerly in the collection of Josephine de Beauharnais,
Queen of Sweden and Norway and likely once the property of Josephine
de Beauharnais the first wife of Napoleon Bonaparte and Empress of
the French. Comprising 111 pearls, the necklace achieved USD
3,426,669. In addition to Beauharnais's necklace, the sale featured
the 'English Rose' a diamond pendant, dating 1876, once the property
of Queen Victoria of Great Britain, which made USD 71,367. Commenting
on the results, David Bennett, Chairman, Sotheby's Switzerland
said,"The Graff Ruby mesmerises all who view it. It is truly a
gem among gems, and quite simply the greatest ruby of its size I have
ever seen."
NOW...SAY THANKS TO FRIENDS THROUGH FB
Facebook
today launched a new initiative 'Say Thanks' that will allow users to
create personalised video cards for their friends on the world's
largest social network. US-based Facebook has over 1.3 billion users
globally and more than 100 million users in India. "Millions of
people use Facebook every day to connect with people and things that
matter to them most. Your friends are at the core of your Facebook
experience, and we are always looking for new ways to help you
celebrate those friendships," Facebook said in a blogpost. Users
can create as many personalised videos as they like for their
friends, relatives and co-workers present on Facebook. The initiative
will be rolled out today globally on both desktop and mobile in
English, French, German, Indonesian, Italian, Portuguese, Spanish and
Turkish languages. To create a 'Say Thanks' video, users will have to
choose a friend and a video will be created and ready to share. Users
can select one of the four different themes and choose the photos and
posts that represent their friendship, the blogpost said. The video
will be shared on the user's timeline along with the timeline of the
person it is dedicated to. In February this year, Facebook had
launched a similar initiative to celebrate its tenth anniversary. It
offered users a personalised video summarising their life on Facebook
over the past years. Each user's "Look Back" had a
compilation of 15 or so of their most-liked photos, statuses, and
life events.
NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 14 & REVIEW
MID
SESSION BETTER...
Nifty
8358 -25
Nifty
traded in zigzag manner with negative bias and closed with a loss of
about 0.30%. After the positive IIP and WPI figures, market appears
to have got into profit booking. Nifty has been moving in a narrow
range of 8300 and 8420 for the last Seven trading sessions and a
clear breakout / breakdown appears imminent in a day or Two. If
it breaks out on the upper side(closing above 8400), Nifty could go
upto 8500 / 8550. Short term trend continues to remain
positive and stoploss may be continued at 8300
(on close basis). Nifty spot is expected to encounter
resistance at 8400,, 8435 and find support at 8320, 8285 for Friday.
While Global cues and Funds flow are
expected to broadly guide the market movement, based on the present
market position, market can be expected to be better in midsession.
SENSEX
SLIPS FROM RECORD HIGHS
Snapping
its three-day rally, the benchmark BSE Sensex today retreated from
record highs to end over 68 points lower at 27,940.64 as the shares
of state-owned oil companies fell as much as 6 per cent after the
government hiked excise duty on petrol and diesel. The 30-share
Sensex commenced on a strong note and soared to the day's high of
28,098.74 on positive inflation and factory output data announced
yesterday. However, it succumbed to profit-booking and dipped below
the 28,000-mark to hit the day's low of 27,822.70 before recovering
partially to settle at 27,940.64, down by 68.26 points or 0.24 per
cent. Yesterday, the benchmark index had ended at an all-time closing
high of 28,008.90 and also hit intra-day high of 28,126.48 on
sustained foreign funds inflows driven by economic reforms undertaken
by the government recently. The 50-scrip NSE Nifty ended 25.45
points, or 0.30 per cent, down at 8,357.85 after shuttling between
8,408.00 and 8,320.35. The gauge yesterday concluded at record
8,383.30 after scaling a lifetime (intra-day) high of 8,415.05.
Meanwhile, country's industrial production grew at 2.5 per cent in
September and retail inflation eased to 5.52 per cent in October from
6.46 per cent in September, according to data released after market
hours yesterday. Besides profit-booking in blue-chip stocks,
sentiments also dampened after the government hiked excise duty on
petrol and diesel prices by Rs 1.50 a litre each to mop up an
additional Rs 13,000 crore in revenue. Stocks of state-run companies
such as BPCL, HPCL and Indian Oil Corp came under selling pressure
and ended up to 6.11 per cent lower.
ONGC was among the biggest Sensex losers, plunging by 2.03 per cent, while RIL fell by 0.53 per cent.
Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) bought shares worth a net Rs 459.47 crore yesterday, according to provisional data from the stock exchanges. Brokers said the market was in an over-bought position and participants adopted a cautious stance and preferred to lighten some positions by booking profits at record levels. Selling was more pronounced in realty, PSU, metal, infrastructure, banking, power and auto stocks, which dragged down the key indices - Sensex and Nifty - from record highs. Sesa Sterlite down by 2.50 per cent, Tata Power shed 2.47 per cent, GAIL fell 1.58 per cent, Axis Bank down 1.49 per cent, Hero MotoCorp by 1.38 per cent and HDFC by 1.14 per cent. Bucking the trend, Infosys surged 1.77 per cent, Dr Reddy by 1.01 per cent, Cipla 0.91 per cent, Wipro 0.69 per cent, Bharti airtel 0.68 and Bajaj Auto 0.54 per cent and averted any major fall in the Sensex.
Among Sensex components, 16 stocks ended in negative territory, while 14 closed higher.
ONGC was among the biggest Sensex losers, plunging by 2.03 per cent, while RIL fell by 0.53 per cent.
Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) bought shares worth a net Rs 459.47 crore yesterday, according to provisional data from the stock exchanges. Brokers said the market was in an over-bought position and participants adopted a cautious stance and preferred to lighten some positions by booking profits at record levels. Selling was more pronounced in realty, PSU, metal, infrastructure, banking, power and auto stocks, which dragged down the key indices - Sensex and Nifty - from record highs. Sesa Sterlite down by 2.50 per cent, Tata Power shed 2.47 per cent, GAIL fell 1.58 per cent, Axis Bank down 1.49 per cent, Hero MotoCorp by 1.38 per cent and HDFC by 1.14 per cent. Bucking the trend, Infosys surged 1.77 per cent, Dr Reddy by 1.01 per cent, Cipla 0.91 per cent, Wipro 0.69 per cent, Bharti airtel 0.68 and Bajaj Auto 0.54 per cent and averted any major fall in the Sensex.
Among Sensex components, 16 stocks ended in negative territory, while 14 closed higher.
Wednesday, November 12, 2014
CHILD PRODIGY CEO TO GIVE LECTURE ON CYBER SECURITY
An
eight-year old Indian-origin child prodigy is among experts who will
address a cyber security conference starting tomorrow in New Delhi,
where Minister of State for External Affairs V K Singh is also listed
as a keynote speaker.
In his address at the summit on November 14, the US-based whizkid Reuben Paul will highlight and demonstrate the need for developing the current generation with cyber security skills, according to the organisers of Ground Zero Summit to be held here.
The organisers said, "8 year old Reuben Paul gives keynote at Houston Security Conference."
"I started learning about computer languages around one- and-a-half years back. Now I design my own projects," Reuben told media.
The prodigy has been trained by his father, Mano Paul, in Object C programming language and is now learning Swift programming for Apple's iOS platform. Mano Paul, born and brought up in Odisha, moved to the US in 2000.
Reuben in August started Prudent Games, his own gaming firm and is designated as CEO of the company. Mano Paul is his partner in the company.
"This will be Reuben's fourth conference where he will be giving lecture on cyber security. He will talk about need to create awareness about cyber security among young kids as well as demo white page hacking," Mano Paul said.
The other keynote speakers listed for the summit include Home Ministry Joint Secretary Nirmaljeet Singh Kalsi, Special Commissioner Police (Traffic) with Delhi Police Muktesh Chander and National Technical Research Organization Director of Cyber Security Operations Alok Vijayant.
In his address at the summit on November 14, the US-based whizkid Reuben Paul will highlight and demonstrate the need for developing the current generation with cyber security skills, according to the organisers of Ground Zero Summit to be held here.
The organisers said, "8 year old Reuben Paul gives keynote at Houston Security Conference."
"I started learning about computer languages around one- and-a-half years back. Now I design my own projects," Reuben told media.
The prodigy has been trained by his father, Mano Paul, in Object C programming language and is now learning Swift programming for Apple's iOS platform. Mano Paul, born and brought up in Odisha, moved to the US in 2000.
Reuben in August started Prudent Games, his own gaming firm and is designated as CEO of the company. Mano Paul is his partner in the company.
"This will be Reuben's fourth conference where he will be giving lecture on cyber security. He will talk about need to create awareness about cyber security among young kids as well as demo white page hacking," Mano Paul said.
The other keynote speakers listed for the summit include Home Ministry Joint Secretary Nirmaljeet Singh Kalsi, Special Commissioner Police (Traffic) with Delhi Police Muktesh Chander and National Technical Research Organization Director of Cyber Security Operations Alok Vijayant.
WOMEN MAIN DRIVERS OF INTERNET
More
women are now going online than men and their user-base has grown
about 30 per cent this year across metros and tier I cities, an
IAMAI-IMRB report said today. According to the report, 'Internet in
India', female Internet users have grown at about 30 per cent to an
estimated 20.77 million this year from 16 million in 2013. On the
other hand, the male user-base in urban India grew at 25 per cent.
The survey was conducted across 35 cities with more than one million
population in India. "This is a happy trend and we believe if it
continues, the currently skewed ratio between men and women stands a
chance of being rectified in the near future," the report said.
India was estimated to have 243 million Internet users at the end of
June 2014.
The fastest growth was seen in the college going students category at 62 per cent to 7.29 million this year from 4.51 million in 2013. The number of school girls in urban India logging online increased 34 per cent to 2.88 million from 2.15 million last year. Similarly, non-working women category grew 18 per cent year-on-year to 5.83 million to 4.93 million, while the working women category grew eight per cent to 4.77 million from 4.41 million last year. "The report also found that in urban areas, 60 per cent of the working women and 47 per cent of non-working women access Internet daily," it said.
The fastest growth was seen in the college going students category at 62 per cent to 7.29 million this year from 4.51 million in 2013. The number of school girls in urban India logging online increased 34 per cent to 2.88 million from 2.15 million last year. Similarly, non-working women category grew 18 per cent year-on-year to 5.83 million to 4.93 million, while the working women category grew eight per cent to 4.77 million from 4.41 million last year. "The report also found that in urban areas, 60 per cent of the working women and 47 per cent of non-working women access Internet daily," it said.
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