HIGHLY VOLATILE MOVEMENTS….!!!
During
the current week Moon would be transiting from Mrigasira in
Gemini to Aslesha in Cancer.
Sun
transits in Visakha in Libra.
Mercury
transits in Swathi constellation Libra
.
Venus
transits in Visakha constellation in Libra.
Mars
transits in Poorvashadha constellation in Sagittarius .
Saturn
transits in Scorpio in Visakha constellation and Cancer
Navamsa.
Jupiter
transits in Cancer in Aslesha constellation in
Pisces navamsa ..
Nifty’s monthly
astro reference range was quite small i.e., 8365 and 8297 and Nifty
can be considered bullish above 8365 and bearish below 8297 for the
rest of the month with a target of 8525 on the upside or 8150 on the
downside as initial targets. (Both targets possible in view of small
reference range)Further, current week is very eventful in view of the hard aspects among slow moving planets besides Mars Pluto conjunction and Sun Jupiter Square. Highly volaltile movements / huge swings can be expected and hence caution is expected both at higher levels and at lower levels too. Bias is expected to be bearish, hence caution particularly at higher levels.
Nifty
Outlook for Next Week :: (10.11.2014 to 14.11.2014) …
NIFTY
:: 8337 (+15) (Short term Bearishness below 8250….)
After
Two weeks’ of smart rally Nifty moved in a small range (only Three
trading sessions) and closed in the green. , In view of the narrow
move last week, it could witness a huge upmove with wild swings once
it breaks above or below the last week range. A directional move is
possible during the week after last week’s narrow move. IIP numbers
and WPI / CPI inflation numbers would be announced during the week
which would influence the market. However, RBI’s indication that
rate cut could further time could dampen the spirits. Fall of crude
oil prices to a multi year low and consequent effect on inflation
etc., would make a strong case for rate cut which would revive the
economic cycle. Market seems to be having best of both worlds ie.,
Reforms from Government and falling crude prices .
Improved corporate performance too would come in soon which is being
discounted by the markets. Despite these positive factors, market is
fully priced and stock picking is the only way to perform in the
market. Next Big event is Budget and big bang reforms can be expected
in the budget. A path breaking budget is being expected.
Nifty
is once again above all short term moving averages and is
infact at a new HIGH. However, in view of the over bought position,
traders need to be vigilant and high degree of caution with proper
risk management is necessary.
20DMA,
50DMA, 100DMA and 200 DMA are placed at about 8020, 8015, 7835 and
7215 respectively and would
act
as supports / resistances.
Strong
long term support would be around 7200 level and Medium term support
is 7850. Short term support is at 8250 and Nifty would become weak
only on a close below 8250.
Technical
Levels ::
For
the coming week, Nifty spot is expected to face
resistance
at 8430, 8520, 8610 and find support at 8245, 8155, 8065.
Minor
resistances may be found at 8375, 8405, 8425, 8450 and minor
supports at 8300, 8270, 8250, and 8220.
For short term Nifty is bullish and would become bearish only if it closes below 8250 and could encounter resistance could encounter resistance around 8525 during the week.
Advice
for Traders ::
Nifty’s
uptrend continued for the Third week while the movements were very
narrow last week. Current week can be expected to be eventful in view
of IIP and inflation numbers which could move the market
significantly. On the upside, Nifty is expected to encounter strong
resistance between 8525 and 8600 and it would become weak on
a close below 8250, In view of the smart upmove in the last Three
weeks, only strong positive news can move the market up. Otherwise,
it could get into consolidation or correction. Stock specific
approach may be followed.
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