NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 26th & REVIEW

CLOSING SESSION SUBDUED

Nifty traded in a very narrow range and closed with a minor loss. A narrow day presupposes a Big range day. Nifty needs to close above 7600 to enter into short term bullishness. Nifty has strong support at 7500 /7450 with strong resistance around 7650 / 7700. Being last day of Derivative settlement, scrip specific movements are most likely. While Global cues, Quarterly results   and  Funds flow  are expected to broadly guide the market movement, based on the present market position, market can be expected to be better in the opening session and have subdued closing session. Scrip specific movements are most likely.

Nifty                               7569    -11

Review for Wednesday ::  Narrow / Lack luster Movements … !!!

After a huge gain day, market traded in a lack luster manner and closed with minor loss. 23 of Nifty stocks gained but  broader market too was positive with Advance Decline ratio at 1.2:1. Bank, Energy, FMCG, Metal indices declined while Realty, Auto, Pharma indices gained.  Hind Unilvere, M&M and Bajaj Auto  contributed about 10 points to Nifty’s gain while ITC, ICICI Bank and Reliance  pulled down Nifty  by about 20 points.  It was  a boring session with narrow movement.

Bajaj Auto, MAruti, Lupin, GAIL, Hind Unilever       remained major gainers  among Nifty stocks ITC< IDFC, ICICI Bank, DLF and ONGC  remained   losers.

Ashok Leyland, IRB, REC. Biocon, Aurobindo  remained major  gainers  among F&O stocks while Tata Motors DVR, Yes Bank, IDEA, Petronet, Syndicae Bank  declined among F&O stocks. 

SENSEX SLIPS AHEAD OF DERIVATIVES EXPIRY

The benchmark Sensex today closed 55.16 points lower at 25,313.74 on caution ahead of monthly derivatives expiry and volatile global oil prices due to continued violence in crude producer Iraq. After opening in positive zone, the BSE Sensex slipped on selling in heavy-weight stocks, to close lower by 55.16 points, or 0.22 per cent, at 25,313.74. Intra-day, it moved between 25,427.80 and 25,274.39. The gauge had rallied 337.58 points in the previous session as fall in crude prices had eased inflation concerns. Automobile company stocks caught buyers' fancy at the fag-end after government extended excise duty concessions by six months. Gains in Bajaj Auto, Maruti Suzuki, Hero MotoCorp, Tata Motors and M&M helped the BSE benchmark cap losses. The 50-scrip NSE index Nifty shed 10.95 points, or 0.14 per cent, to end at 7,569.25 after touching day's high of 7,589.25. Intra-day, it hit a low of 7,557.05. Militants launched a dawn raid today on a key Iraqi oil refinery they have been trying to take for days but were repelled by security forces. US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTA) rose 17 cents to USD 106.20 a barrel while Brent crude eased 65 cents to USD 113.81. Brokers said investors, who had been buying in the past few sessions, trimmed positions by booking profits ahead of tomorrow's monthly expiry in futures and options contracts. Besides, a weak trend in other Asian markets and a lower opening in European markets also influenced the sentiment. "Investors are now waiting for the Budget that shall be announced in early next month. Till then, market is likely to continue with volatility and show consolidation," said Nidhi Saraswat, Senior Research Analyst, Bonanza Portfolio. RIL shares came under pressure and ended 0.84 per cent down following reports government would slap a fresh fine. In the 30-scrip Sensex, 14 stocks, led by RIL, declined. They include ICICI Bank, Bharti Airtel, Axis Bank, HDFC Bank and L&T. On the other hand, 16 Sensex constituents gained. The BSE Auto index ended in positive zone with a rise of 0.76 per cent. Sectorally, the BSE Oil and Gas index fell the most (0.79 per cent), followed by Capital Goods (0.70 per cent), Banking (0.43 per cent) and FMCG index. On the other hand, BSE Small Cap index closed 0.35 per cent higher and BSE Mid Cap index by 0.52 per cent.