NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 20 & REVIEW

POLL OUTCOME TO INFLUENCE

Nifty                               7780  +32

Nifty opened steady and after taking Thursday’s low level, it rallied smartly and the gains were trimmed due to profit booking at higher levels. IT index fell sharply due to lower than expected results from TCS and all other indices gained and Banks were the lead gainers. Nifty appears to have support around 200 DMA.  Nifty spot is expected to encounter resistance at 7820,, 7855 and find support at 7740, 7700 for Monday. While Global cues  and  Funds flow  are expected to broadly guide the market movement, based on the present market position, opening would be influenced by the poll outcome of Maharashtra and Haryana and a clear majority for BJP would boost the sentiment.

SENSEX RECOVERS FROM LOWS

Logging its first rise in three sessions, the benchmark Sensex today recovered 109 points to reclaim 26,000 mark on gains in banking, capital goods and consumer durable shares on hopes that state election results would give a much-needed boost to economic reforms. Exit polls have predicted BJP would gain majority in recently-held Maharashtra and Haryana assembly polls. Brokers say this would improve Centre-State co-ordination and consolidate BJP's position in Rajya Sabha, a key factor to push major reforms. Smart rise in HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, HDFC, L&T, SBI, M&M, Axis Bank, Hero MotoCorp, RIL, Bharti and Cipla shares mainly helped the market recover from two-month lows hit Thursday. However, IT shares suffered a jolt after country's largest software services exporter, TCS, yesterday announced below-market-expectations second quarter results. The 30-share Sensex resumed lower on mixed Asian cues and touched a low of 25,910.77. It gradually started to bounce back and logged a high of 26,248.54 on firm European trends, up by 250 points. Later, it pared some gains and finally settled at 26,108.53, a rise of 109.19 points or 0.42 percent. In previous two sessions, Sensex had shed 384.73 points. The wide-based 50-issue CNX Nifty of the NSE also gyrated in a range between 7,819.20 and 7,723.85 before concluding at 7,779.70 -- a net gain of 31.50 points or 0.41 per cent. "Markets are awaiting state elections outcome on Sunday which could make a difference to stocks," said Rajshekar Gowda, Senior Analyst, HBJ Capital. Participants also drew some comfort from RBI Governor's statement that India is seeing a pick-up in economic growth although more could be done to support that on a sustainable basis, according to Jayant Manglik, President-retail distribution, Religare Securities. On a weekly basis, the Sensex fell for the fourth straight week and lost 188.85 points.