Benchmark sensitive index Sensex was among the top
performing indices globally during May, and this momentum is expected
to continue in the next two- three years, says a report. The one
month return of S&P BSE Sensex stood at 3.9 per cent, while for
South Korea's Kospi it stood as high as 6.1 per cent, for FTSE it was
at 4.1 per cent and Hong Kong's HangSeng at 4 per cent, the research
note by ICICI Prudential AMC said. Returns of the benchmark index are
absolute returns calculated between April 30 to May 31, 2017. "From
a global context, India stands out for three reasons – stable
macros, prudent fiscal and monetary policies, and gradual but steady
pace of reforms," the report said and added that with the
implementation of Goods and Services Tax (GST), there is huge
expectation of the tax base increasing and a larger part of the
economy coming under taxation. In India, among the market-cap based
indices, large-cap index continued to outperform. While returns for
BSE Sensex stood at 3.9 per cent, for BSE mid cap it was at (-) 1.1
and for BSE small cap it was (-) 1.8 per cent. "We recommend
that investors continue to maintain over- weight exposure in
equities. Reasonable growth is expected from equity markets over the
next two-to-three years," the report added. Meanwhile, the
benchmark indices of China, Brazil and Russia gave negative returns
of (-) 1.1 per cent, (-) 3.9 per cent and (-) 5.2 per cent
respectively.
India has gained significant traction among the
investing community globally as the policy environment has been
improving. "The interest of foreign investors can be gauged from
higher level of foreign direct investment. It has now again reached
around 2 per cent of GDP," the report added.
Up
23% in last 5 mnths
Global
stock markets scaled up nearly 15 per cent with benchmark indices in
five countries including India seeing movement of above 20 per cent,
in the five months ended May 2017, and the momentum is expected to
stay going forward, says a report. According to Care Ratings analysis
of movement in stock market indices for 33 countries, the median
value of change in these indices was 14.9 per cent, for the five
month period December-end 2016 to May-end 2017. Of these, five
countries -- Poland (30.2 per cent), Argentina (29.6 per cent), South
Korea (25 per cent), Turkey (24.2 per cent) and India (23 per cent)
-- saw upswing of more than 20 per cent in their respective indices.
While Indian securities have been buoyant this year with the stock
indices scaling new heights, the analysis shows that the phenomena is
not quite singular and is being observed in a large number of
countries. "While the (Indian) performance has been impressive,
it is also interesting to note that stock markets world over have
also been witnessing impressive upswings as the global environment
too has turned positive with both World Bank and the IMF projecting
better prospects for 2017 though no major turnaround is expected,"
Care Ratings said. India is followed by Denmark (19.9 per cent)
Mexico (17.8 per cent), Chile (17.2 per cent), Germany (17.1 per
cent) and Singapore (16.4 per cent), in the top 10-list. Besides,
benchmark indices in Taiwan, Hong Kong, France, Netherlands,
Switzerland, Belgium, Italy, Sweden, Malaysia, Israel and Britain,
have also seen double digit growth, for the period under review. The
report noted that the "overtly buoyant sentiment" in India
was driven by some positive economic numbers in the areas of GDP
growth and industrial production, large foreign flows in both
equities and debt, powerful show by the Narendra Modi-led government
in the state elections, passage of critical reforms including GST and
forecast of good monsoon, among others. "These pointers have
more than offset the negative fallout of the demonetisation policy
undertaken last year as well as low investment rates in the economy,"
Care said. Comparatively, India's neighbour China figured among the
bottom three countries on the list with its indices rising meagre 2.4
per cent, for the period under review. China is followed by Canada
(32nd rank) and Russia (33rd rank) as their indices declined by 0.3
per cent and 8.6 per cent respectively.
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