Sunday, November 4, 2012

WHO WILL BE THE WINNER...



President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney enter the final sprint before Election Day essentially deadlocked nationally in what looks set to be one of the closest presidential elections in U.S. history.
Polls on the state and national level have been, in many cases, razor close. What happens if the candidates tie in the popular vote? In the electoral vote? WSJ's Neil King and Professor of Government Linda Fowler join the News Hub. Photo: AP Images.
A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll of likely voters finds Mr. Obama leading his rival by a nose, 48% to 47%, as the two men crisscross the country to rally supporters in the states most likely to decide the outcome.
Final polls in many of those states, from Virginia and Ohio to New Hampshire, Colorado and Wisconsin, also find the race too close to call.
Full results of the Journal poll will be published later Sunday.
The two candidates enter the final stage with firm advantages they had from the start. Mr. Obama derives his tiny lead by holding a slightly larger base of support, 51% to 43%, among women voters than Mr. Romney has among men, the poll finds.
The former Massachusetts governor has the support of 51% of men, compared to 44% who back the president.
The poll of 1,475 likely voters across the country has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.55 percentage points.
The candidates are packing their final Sunday before the vote with events across the country. Mr. Obama begins the day in New Hampshire before jumping to Florida, Ohio and Colorado. Mr. Romney will kick off his day in Iowa before hopping to Ohio, Pennsylvania and Virginia.
With state polls continuing to show Mr. Romney lagging behind in the critical state of Ohio, his campaign is making a concerted, last-minute push to try to seize Pennsylvania, a win that would scramble the electoral map and negate a potential loss by the GOP nominee in Ohio.
A running average of all national polls maintained by Real Clear Politics now has the two men within 0.2% of one another. The average doesn't include the new Journal poll.
In the similarly down-to-the-wire 2004 clash between President George W. Bush and Sen. John Kerry, Mr. Bush actually entered the final stretch with a lead slightly above 2%—comfortable, by the look of this year's election.
President Obama got high marks in the poll for his handling of the aftermath of Sandy, the storm that lashed the Northeast last week. Nearly seven in 10 voters approved of how he dealt with Sandy, compared to 15% who disapproved. His approval was higher, 75%, among voters in the Northeast.

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