Gold imports surged by over six-fold to USD
5.61 billion (over Rs 35,000 crore) in November primarily due to a spike
in demand during the marriage and festival season, raising fresh
concerns of widening current account deficit. Imports of the precious
metal stood at USD 835.83 million in the same month in 2013. Both
Reserve Bank and government have been saying that CAD levels are
comfortable despite an upward trend, but the huge jump in gold imports
may cause fresh worries to them. Besides, import curbs were eased on
November 28 which could also lead to further rise in imports this month
onwards. Higher gold imports in November have pushed up trade deficit
to one-and-a-half year high of USD 16.86 billion in November as against
USD 9.57 billion in the same month last year. The previous high deficit
was USD 20.1 billion in May 2013. Sequentially, gold imports have been
on an upward trend since August when the inbound shipments rose to USD
2.03 billion from 1.81 billion in July. In September, it was USD 3.75
billion, while in October imports rose to USD 4.17 billion. Last week
the Reserve Bank had said that the current account deficit (CAD) had
widened to USD 10.1 billion or 2.1 per cent of GDP in July-September. It
cited higher trade deficit due to rising gold imports as the primary
reason for the spike in CAD. The current account deficit, which is the
excess of foreign exchange outflows over inflows, touched a historic
high of 4.8 per cent of GDP in 2012-13, mainly due to rising imports of
petroleum products and gold. However, it narrowed sharply to 1.7 per
cent of GDP in the April-June quarter of this fiscal due to decline in
gold imports. Gold imports were down for quite a long time after the
government had imposed restrictions on inbound shipments of the precious
metal to narrow the CAD. India is the largest importer of gold, which
is mainly utilised to meet the demand of the jewellery industry.
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