Despite Telangana issue, the Housing
Sentiment Index (HSI) for Hyderabad increased by 22 per cent to 101
points during the October-December quarter, breaking a largely negative
streak to end close to neutral, according to an assessment by IIM
Bangalore and Magicbricks. The IIMB MB HSI is a sentiment index of the
Indian real estate market that aims to capture buyer 'mood' and
indicates residential real estate market performance. "Hyderabad, which
fell sharply last quarter (July- September), bounced back by 21 per
cent amidst concerns over the Telangana issue. North and East Hyderabad
posted positive sentiment this quarter with Hyderabad HSI coming in at
101. South Hyderabad also saw an increase of 24 per cent in HSI although
still ending below 100 (HSI 91)," the report said. The report further
said that 91 per cent of residents in Mumbai intend to purchase flats
(HSI 83), 30 per cent of residents in Chennai intend to purchase land
(HSI 100) while 34 per cent of Hyderabad residents intend to purchase
villas (HSI 96). While property in the Rs 1-2 crore range has risen
overall, Chennai witnessed a drop of 18 per cent (HSI 85). Sentiment for
property in the below Rs 20 lakh range has either remained flat or
witnessed a drop of up to 28 per cent in Hyderabad, except Pune where it
rose by 29 per cent (HSI 133), it said. A total of approximately 3,000
buyers are surveyed every quarter in an online survey across 10 cities
Mumbai, Delhi, Hyderabad, Pune, Noida, Gurgaon, Bangalore, Chennai,
Ahmedabad and Kolkata (last two cities added in Q3 2013). The survey was
conducted online in the months of July, October and December 2013.
Meanwhile, housing sentiment index in the third quarter of FY'14 has
increased by over 25 per cent to 117 indicating that home buyers across
the country expect property prices to go up post elections, the
assessment said. The index has bounced back to 117, the level at which
it was in the first quarter from 93 in the previous quarter (Q2). "The
HSI clearly underwrites the forecast as home buyers across the nation
expect real estate prices to rise over the next six months, reflecting a
shift from the previous quarter when buyers expected a decrease in
prices," the report said. "Indian real estate is bound to remain an
attractive sector in the medium term with faster growth expected in
Tier- II cities. However, active interest will take another 6-9 months
to translate into buying activity as consumers expect prices to go up
only after six months, post the 2014 elections," Magicbricks Business
Head Sudhir Pai said. Noida topped the list of cities with an HSI of
129 witnessing a 33 per cent jump Q-on-Q. "The proposed metro link,
emphasis on affordable housing projects and construction of software
technology parks is making Noida a fast growing and attractive city to
live in," he said.
The sentiments were muted by Mumbai, which ended last this quarter too with an HSI of 85. "As the financial capital wrestles with a state of high supply with negligent demand, it is predicted that it will take 9 quarters to clear this inventory at current rates," Pai said. The latest HSI report also introduces the seller survey to compare sentiments between sellers and buyers. The HSI of 156 for sellers was a lot higher than the buyer HSI. According to the report, 29 per cent of sellers expected a 5-10 per cent increase in property prices. Nearly 38 per cent want to book profits while 30 per cent want to move to a bigger accommodation. Properties in the Rs 20-40 lakh range are most preferred with over 30 per cent of buyers in this range, it said. "Given the high construction costs, steady inflation, increasing bank loan rates and the looming elections, buyers are likely to use extreme caution before investing in property in the coming months," Pai added.
The sentiments were muted by Mumbai, which ended last this quarter too with an HSI of 85. "As the financial capital wrestles with a state of high supply with negligent demand, it is predicted that it will take 9 quarters to clear this inventory at current rates," Pai said. The latest HSI report also introduces the seller survey to compare sentiments between sellers and buyers. The HSI of 156 for sellers was a lot higher than the buyer HSI. According to the report, 29 per cent of sellers expected a 5-10 per cent increase in property prices. Nearly 38 per cent want to book profits while 30 per cent want to move to a bigger accommodation. Properties in the Rs 20-40 lakh range are most preferred with over 30 per cent of buyers in this range, it said. "Given the high construction costs, steady inflation, increasing bank loan rates and the looming elections, buyers are likely to use extreme caution before investing in property in the coming months," Pai added.
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