Divergence between rural and urban India
continues to widen, with rural population's spending capacity remaining
higher than their urban peers in almost all categories of spending, says
a report. "Rural consumers are spending more, and penetration gaps
between urban and rural consumers for discretionary items such as
automobiles, branded goods and even monthly outgo on mobile connection
have come down," said Credit Suisse in a report titled 'India consumer
survey 2014'. The report further said despite the higher growth in
spending in rural areas, the fall in savings rate is more drastic in
urban areas, showing the effect of lower income increase and higher
inflation on urban consumers. The survey also highlighted that more
rural people saw their incomes increase last year and even more expect
this trend to continue this year. According to the survey, the
declining trend of consumer optimism observed in the last two years
shows some signs of improvement and that the declining trend in
discretionary consumption seems to be bottoming out. "More people
believe this is a good time for making big-ticket purchases, and also
expect inflation to decelerate," it said. "There is also a reversal of
the down-trading trend in discretionary items we observed in last year's
survey-a sign that declining growth in discretionary items may be
bottoming out," the report said. However, Credit Suisse believes it is
still early to say whether the cycle has turned and things will pick up
from here on. The survey shows there has been a sharp fall in consumers
wishing to buy unbranded items. "Indians are among the lowest consumers
of items such as beer, spirits, meat and cigarettes, have the lowest
access to the Internet, and while improvement is seen on these
parameters based on this year's survey, there is still a long way to go.
"This, combined with the greater participation of rural population
especially those at the bottom of the pyramid, bodes well for the
country's consumption story," the survey concluded.
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