NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 2nd & REVIEW OF 1

MIDSESSION BETTER

Nifty moved in a very narrow range over the last 9 trading sessions suggesting a “Big move “ in the offing as contraction in volatility leads to expansion. Market witnessed a cautious start on the first trading day in the new year  Lack of institutional participation is evident .  However, Nifty, in neutral range,  would become weak only on a close below 6270 mark.  Nifty spot is expected to encounter resistance at 6345, 6380 and find support at 6265, 6230, for Thursday. While Global cues and  Funds flow  are expected to broadly guide the market movement, based on the present market position , market can be expected to recover after opening session and closing session could witness selling / profit booking.

 Nifty                               6302     -2

Review for Wednesday, 01st January, 2014 ::  Flat Close amid Narrow Movement ..!!

“Contraction leads to Expansion and vice versa” in the market movement. Hence, too much of contraction in the recent pastcould lead to expansive move shortly. One more narrow day with flat close . 37 of Nifty in the green and broader market too was quite positive with Advance Decline ratio at 2:1, despite market closing flat. IT and Energy indices suffered while Realty, PSU Bank, Infra, Pharma, Metal indices gained.   Bharti, DLF, Bank of Baroda, Ranbaxy remained major gainers among Nifty stocks while Wipro, BHEL, Tata Power, TCS and Reliance remained losers.

Among F&O stocks,  UCO Bank, IB Realestate, Federal Bank, Bank of India and Andhra Bank         remained  major gainers  with additional Open Interest indicating fresh long  positions   while PTC, IOC, Tata Power, Hind Zinc  remained losers  with additional Open Interest indicating fresh short  positions.

Inputs provided by

Dr.Bhuvanagiri Amaranatha Sastry

Astro Technical Analyst

Saketha Consultants, Hyderabad

He can be reached @sastry.saaketa@gmail.com

09848014561

 

MARKET RECORDS FIRST DAY FALL

The benchmark Sensex gave up initial gains in a lacklustre session today following the absence of global triggers and ended with a 30-point loss, logging a drop on the opening trading day of the year for the first time since 2006. Most global stock markets, including those in Asia, Europe and New York, are closed today. Reliance Industries, TCS and Infosys shares were the biggest drag on the index, which received some support from Bharti Airtel. Wipro and Tata Power fell. Three of the 12 BSE sectoral indices fell -- IT, tech and oil & gas. The realty sector index notched up a huge jump while the others eked out minor gains. The S&P BSE Sensex opened higher and climbed to 21,244.35. It traded in a 110-point range before ending at 21,140.48, a loss of 30.20 points or 0.14 per cent. It was the first drop for the index on day one of the year since January 2, 2006, when the Sensex fell 7.8 points. The broader, 50-share CNX Nifty on the National Stock Exchange was down 2.35 points to 6,301.65. Though the index fell, the market breadth was strong as retail investors bought second-line stocks. The Small Cap and Mid Cap indices outperformed the Sensex with gains of 1.5 per cent and 0.47 per cent, respectively. Government data released after market hours yesterday showed India's fiscal deficit touched 93.9 per cent of the annual target in April-November. An index of eight core industries grew 1.7 per cent in November from 5.8 per cent a year earlier. Foreign institutional investors bought shares worth a net Rs 309.70 crore yesterday, according to provisional data from the stock exchanges. US stocks rose to records yesterday with the Standard & Poor's 500 Index posting its best year since 1997. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended 2013 with a gain of 26.5 per cent, the most since 1995, and the Nasdaq Composite Index surged more than 38 per cent, its biggest gain since 2009. 
"All is not over for retail investors. We strongly believe that the time has come where mid cap and small cap stocks will ride the boom now in 2014," said Kishor P Ostwal, CMD of CNI Research Ltd. "High-valued stocks may become very expensive and profit booking will start at higher levels. This simply suggests there will huge action in 2014 to bridge the valuation gaps of small caps and mid caps with large caps," Ostwal added. The major losers on the 30-share Sensex were Wipro 1.13 pc, Tata Power 1.09 pc, TCS 0.79 pc, Reliance 0.68 pc and BHEL 0.62 pc. However, Bharti Airtel firmed up by 2.16 pc, followed by NTPC 0.88 pc, Sun Pharma 0.82 pc, Coal India 0.66 pc and Hero MotoCorp 0.54 pc. Among the S&P BSE sectoral indices, IT dropped 0.65 pc and Oil & Gas 0.37 pc while Realty rose 2.89 pc. The market breadth remained positive as 1,592 stocks gained and 905 declined. Total turnover dropped to Rs 1,441.17 crore from Rs 1,658.21 crore yesterday.