Indian consumers' confidence level rose in
the month of March owing to improved spending behaviour coupled with
stable employment situation, says a study by financial services provider
BluFin.
The BluFin's Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) rose to
41.8 points in March, an increase of 1.1 points from the preceding
month.
This is the first uptick since the festive season in
November indicating that inspite of being in the slightly pessimistic
range, the consumer sentiment is showing some signs of improvement,
suggesting a possible reversal in the consumer mood.
The index is a
key 'aggregate' indicator that assesses the pulse of urban Indian
consumers with regard to the economy, spending behaviour and employment.
The index reflects pessimism at below 50 score and optimism above that.
"It is interesting to note that there has been a marginal improvement
in the consumer confidence in the metros and tier I and tier II
cities," BluFin CEO Rashid Bilimoria said.
"In the metros it's
the rise in the spending sentiment that has affected (improved) the
consumer confidence where as in the smaller tier I and tier II cities,
it is the improvement in the inflation sentiment, which is the main
reason for the upturn," he added.
A sub index, which rates
spending sentiment, has improved by 2.7 points to 30.2 which indicates
that the consumers are getting slightly less pessimistic towards
spending.
"The improvement in these fundamental macro economic
variables has reflected in the spending sentiment of the consumer as
well," the study noted.
The inflation sentiment index after
having remained below 25 for some time has now risen to 25.9 showing
growing comfort around inflationary pressures.
Besides, employment
sentiment remained stable at 51.7 indicating a positive sentiment
amongst consumers regarding their job security and job prospects.
Another sub-index, which measures future expectations was at 40.5,
indicating consumers were still pessimistic about the economy's
prospects. However, consumers were more comfortable about their present
situation with a score of 44.7.
The index is based on nation-wide
monthly surveys of 4,000 respondents across 18 cities conducted by
custom market research company TNS.
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