NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 14th & REVIEW

SECOND HALF BETTER

Inputs by

Dr.Bhuvanagiri Amaranatha Sastry

Astro Technical Analyst

Saketha Consultants, Hyderabad

sastry.saaketa@gmail.com

09848014561

http://www.saaketa.com/AstroTechnicals.aspx

Nifty closed above 7100 mark with a gain of more than 1.50% , Third day of considerable gain. Stop loss for Nifty may be enhanced to 6860 (n close basis). While Global cues, Quarterly results   and  Funds flow  are expected to broadly guide the market movement, based on the present market position , market can be expected to be subdued in the forenoon and recover / remain generally better in the Second half of the day.

Nifty                               7109  +95

Review for Tuesday :: Exit Poll Results add Fuel to Fire …  !!!

Nifty opened better on the back of positive exit poll results and surged further and closed with a gain of 1.50%, though it came off from higher level due to profit booking. 40 of Nifty stocks gained but broader market too was positive with  Advance Decline ratio at 1.50. Reliance, Infy and ONGC contributed more than 35 points to Nifty’s gain.

 

BHEL, Hero Motors, Ambuja Cement, Bank of Baroda, DLF   remained major gainers  among Nifty stocks while PNB, Dr Reddy, Cairn, Hindalco, HDFC Bank   remained   losers.

  

Adani Enterprises, GMR Infra, BHEL, Jubilant Food, Adani Ports,     remained major  gainers  among F&O stocks while PNB, Dr Reddy, Apollo Tyres, Glenmark,M&M Finance declined among F&O stocks. 

NEW HIGHS ON EXIT POLL EUPHORIA

Exit polls showing the BJP-led NDA is projected to form the next government gave a fresh boost to domestic markets today with the BSE benchmark Sensex zooming to new all-time high of 24,068.94 and NSE Nifty surging to 7,172.35, the third straight record-setting session.

At close, the Sensex concluded at a new high of 23,871.23, showing a sharp gain of 320.23 points, or 1.36 per cent, over Monday. Hopes of a stable business-friendly government at the Centre also helped 50-share NSE Nifty finish at a new closing peak of 7,108.75, logging a rise of 94.50 or 1.35 per cent. The BJP-led NDA is projected to form the government at the Centre with exit polls on Monday night giving between 249 and 290 seats to the Narendra Modi-led grouping, which is close to the half-way mark in the 543-member Lok Sabha. Shares of Power, Consumer Durable, Refinery, IT, Capital Goods, Realty and Teck shot up on persistent buying, said traders. In three straight days, the Sensex has gained over 1,500 points and the Nifty nearly 450 points ahead of May 16 election results. The market sentiment was also boosted by data showing that foreign funds made substantial purchases as they bought shares worth a net Rs 1,217.95 crore yesterday as per provisional data from the stock exchanges. 

Market participants seemed to ignore data, which came after markets closed yesterday, showing retail inflation rose to three-month high of 8.59 per cent in April, squeezing the space for the Reserve Bank to ease interest rates in the monetary policy review in June. Jignesh Chaudhary, Head of Research, Veracity Broking Services said: "Local equities opened strong taking cues from yesterday's exit polls which showed that the Bharatiya Janata Party and its allies will be on the winning side in the Lok Sabha elections. Investors feel that if Modi wins this elections then his presence will boost markets & also the FIIs will pour in more money..." Globally, most Asian stocks ended higher as investors weighed earnings and after US stocks climbed to record high overnight. Benchmark indices in South Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan and Japan were up by 0.11 per cent to 1.95 per cent while Shanghai Composite declined by 0.10 per cent. Singapore market was closed today. 

24 scrips out the 30-share Sensex pack ended higher while only six counters finishing lower. Major gainers were BHEL (10.25 per cent), Hero Moto (5.39 per cent), ONGC (3.81 per cent), Tata Power (3.62 per cent), Wipro (3.36 per cent), Reliance Industries (3.15 per cent), Infosys (2.76 per cent) and Gail India (2.51 per cent). TCS (2.36 per cent), Maruti Suzuki (2.14 per cent), SSLT (1.82 per cent), Bajaj Auto (1.61 per cent), Tata Steel (1.58 per cent), HDFC (1.56 per cent), Larsen & Toubro (1.56 per cent), SBI (1.45 per cent), HUL (1.35 per cent) and NTPC (1.28 per cent) also notched up good gains. Dr Reddys dropped 3.99 per cent, the biggest drop in the six Sensex losers of the day. "After three days of vertical spurt, we believe that index may take a breather for a session or two prior to final tally," said Jayant Manglik, President-retail distribution, Religare Securities. Among the S&P BSE sectoral indices, Power rose by 3.26 per cent, Consumer Durables 2.92 per cent, Oil&Gas 2.84 per cent, IT 2.59 per cent, Capital Goods 2.51 per cent, Realty 2.44 per cent and Teck 2.23 per cent. However, Healthcare index fell 0.45 per cent. Market breadth turned positive as 1,623 stocks finished with gains, 1,268 stocks ended with losses while 147 ruled steady. The total turnover rose to Rs Rs 4,620.58 crore from Rs 3,592.61 crores yesterday.