Tuesday, October 31, 2017

INDIA IN TOP 100 LEAGUE OF EASE OF DOING BUSINESS

India has jumped 30 places to rank 100th in the World Bank's 'ease of doing business' ranking, helped by a slew of reforms in taxation, licensing, investor protection and bankruptcy resolution. The ranking comes as a shot in the arm for the Narendra Modi government amid dissenting voices in certain quarters about implementation of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) as well as demonetisation. In its annual report 'Doing Business 2018: Reforming to Create Jobs', the World Bank said that India's ranking reflects nearly half of the 37 reforms, adopted since 2003, implemented in the last four years. The ranking, however, does not take into account business environment post implementation of GST, which weaved the country of 1.3 billion into one market with one tax and removed inter-state barriers for trade. India, which was ranked 130th among the 190 nations, is "one of the top 10 improvers in this year's assessment, having implemented reforms in 8 out of 10 'doing business' indicators," it said. This is the first time India has broken into top 100 nations. India is the only large country this year to have achieved such a significant shift. The parameters that witnessed improvement in 2016-17 were India making it faster for start business, reduction in procedures and time required to obtain building permit, easier access to credit, protecting minority investors, ease of paying taxes, trading across borders, enforcing contracts and making resolving insolvency easier, the World Bank said. But it still lags in areas such as starting a business, enforcing contracts and dealing with construction permits.

- It takes 30 days now to register a new business, down from 127 days 15 years ago, but "the number of procedures is still cumbersome for local entrepreneurs who still need to go through 12 procedures.

- India was ranked 130th for last two years. In 2014, it managed to get 142nd spot. According to the World Bank, New Zealand is the easiest place on the planet to do business, followed by Singapore, Denmark, South Korea and Hong Kong. The US and the UK are ranked 6th and 7th on the list.

- Among BRICS countries, Russia tops the list with 35th position, followed by China which has retained its ranking at the 78th place for the second consecutive year. The biggest surprise of this year, the authors of the report said, is India, which jumped 30 spots in one year by improving its score by 4.71 to 60.76 points.

India's Record jump

Santiago Croci Downes, Acting Manager, Doing Business Unit at World Bank, said that in the 15 years' history of this annual report, there have been only five countries like Georgia and Rwanda which made a massive jump in one year. But none of them were as big an economy as India. Noting that India made a very big effort in the past two years, the World Bank said the results now reflect those initiatives. "This is a continuous effort of two or three years. But there's still a long way to go," she said. India used to be in the bottom quarter of the distribution, now it's in the middle which is a big improvement. "It (India) is still a place where there is room for improvement in making the life of entrepreneurs, less bureaucratic, making transactions simpler and more efficient and less costly. So, there's still significant room for improvement. But it was a very significant change and even not just in relative but also in absolute terms," she said. For entrepreneurs in India, doing business is simpler now, she argued. Referring to the series of reforms being carried out by India, Downs said there is a willingness to improve the private sector and prioritise these. "If you're asking me would India be 50 next year, I would say that's very very unlikely. But if you could tell me you would be 50 in five years, I will say may be," she said. There are a few areas where there is much room for improvement such as enforcing contracts, which on an average in India is 1,445 days, besides the court system in India is very slow, she said. "That's one of the areas where India really lags behind compared to other countries," she said, adding that easing property registration and property transactions is another area where things are not very efficient.

Major Jump, Still needs improvement


This is a major major jump. Climb of 30 places is the result of series of reforms undertake by the Modi government since 2014. The GST, which was implemented from July 1, GST reforms have not been counted this year. It would come into play for the report next year. Demonetisation was also not covered. India has improved a lot (this year), but there's still room for improvement, So, I wouldn't necessarily classify it as a nice place to do business yet, but definitely is in the right direction to become a nice place. It is much easier than it was two years ago.

- Rita Ramalho, Acting Director for World Bank's Global Indicators Group.

ASTRO TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR NIFTY

 for November 1, 2017

Second Half  Better 

Tithi ::Karteeka Sukla Dwadasi

Nakshatra ::Uttarabhadra

Persons born in  Bharani, Pubba and Poorvashadha and those  born in Aries and Leo are advised to be alert in their dealings. 

Sensitive / Trend change Timing :1.32PM

Likely Intraday Trend...

On the basis of planetary position and aspects amongst planets, Market is expected to open Subdued and remain Subdued  from Opening till about 1.10PM and remain Better  thereafter till about 2.50PM and could reman Subdued thereafter till about Close of the day.

Astro Technical Trading Strategy...

If Nifty Fut. Trades below   the Open /  ATP level by about 9.30 AM , Short Positions can be taken with suitable SL, and such positions can be closed by about 1.00 PM. If Nifty fut trades Better above   ATP by about 1.15PM , Long Positions can be taken with suitable SL and such positions can be closed by about 2.45PM.

Technical Levels...
Resistance : 10375,10410 Support :10295,10260
--------------------------------------------
IF resistance levels are achieved in the forenoon session, buying may be avoided at higher levels and risky traders can consider short positon for a pull back to Bullish trigger level. IF Support levels are achieved in the forenoon session, selling may be avoided at lower levels and risky traders can consider buying for a pull back upto  Bearish trigger level / other support levels.

Intraday trend given above is relative and based purely on the basis of planetary positions / aspects and needs to be understood and astrological portion given above should be considered together and applied for taking proper trading decisions.

Disclaimer :: Intraday trading is risky and Astro guidance is to be depending on intra day movements, to be applied depending on the real time market movement. Used as an additional tool in addition to technicals. Investment decisions made on the above analysis would be at your own risk and I take no responsibility for your decisions based on the above analysis.'

Trade only with stop loss..

Stay Disciplined for Successful Trading and Investing..



Monday, October 30, 2017

ASTRO TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR NIFTY

for October 31, 2017

Generally Better

Tithi ::Karteeka Sukla Ekadasi

Nakshatra ::Poorvabhadra

Persons born in Aswini, Makha and Moola and those  born in Pisces and Cancer are advised to be alert in their dealings.

Sensitive / Trend change Timings :1.40PM

Likely Intraday Trend...

On the basis of planetary position and aspects amongst planets, Market is expected to open Subdued and remain Subdued from Opening till about 9.45AM and remain Better thereafter till about 11.50PM and reman Subdued thereafter till about 1.45 PM and remain Better thereafter till Close of the day.

Astro Technical Trading Strategy...

If Nifty Fut. Trades above the Open/ATP level by about 9.45 AM , Long Positions can be taken with suitable SL, and such positions can be closed by about 11.45 AM. If Nifty fut trades Better below ATP by about 12.00PM , Short Positions can be taken with suitable SL and such positions can be closed by about 1.45PM. If Nifty fut trades above the ATP by about 2 PM , Long position can be taken  with suitable SL and such positions can be closed by about end of the day.
Technical Levels...
Resistance : 10405,10440 Support : 10325,10290
------------------------------------------
IF resistance levels are achieved in the forenoon session, buying may be avoided at higher levels and risky traders can consider short positon for a pull back to Bullish trigger level. IF Support levels are achieved in the forenoon session, selling may be avoided at lower levels and risky traders can consider buying for a pull back upto  Bearish trigger level / other support levels.

Intraday trend given above is relative and based purely on the basis of planetary positions / aspects and needs to be understood and astrological portion given above should be considered together and applied for taking proper trading decisions.

Disclaimer :: Intraday trading is risky and Astro guidance is to be depending on intra day movements, to be applied depending on the real time market movement. Used as an additional tool in addition to technicals. Investment decisions made on the above analysis would be at your own risk and I take no responsibility for your decisions based on the above analysis.'

Trade only with stop loss..

Stay Disciplined for Successful Trading and Investing..


Sunday, October 29, 2017

DeMo HIT POOR... but THEY FORGIVE MODI

Prime Minister Narendra Modi's demonetisation hit the poor but they forgave him because they believed he was on their side and the move was aimed against "filthy rich people", says former member of the erstwhile Planning Commission Arun Maira says. According to Maira, it was, however, yet to be known whether the rich got hurt. "People in our society are evidently upset with the rich having so much. Mr Modi and also other people like Mr Anna Hazare were listening to the people who were upset with the establishment -- the rich people and the government, that is, the crony capitalism. And that is what the Anna Hazare’s movement was against. It was not only against the government but against the corrupt as well. "So Mr Modi took that movement and made that (corruption) the message; this (demonetisation) is to hurt those people (the rich), therefore the other people suffering took it like 'wow!'. That's why I think the rich people like us better listen. Demonetisation should have woken us up that there is a big unrest in the country about us. "Here is one person, Mr Modi, saying I will do this big 'jhatka' for you (the poor). Whether the rich got hurt or not, we do not know as yet. Certainly the poor got hurt but they forgave him because they thought 'you are on the side of the poor people against these filthy rich people'," Maira told PTI in an interview. The former member of the Planning Commission, which was dissolved by the Modi government and replaced with the Niti Aayog, also stressed that an economy should focus more on the welfare of the citizens instead of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) numbers. "Why do we want more jobs in the economy? Because the economy is supposed to be for the people; politicians are elected not just to raise the GDP but to produce results that matter to them (the people)," the former India chairman of the Boston Consulting Group said. "So you have to construct an economy which is going to create jobs for people. In other words, the enterprises in an economy better engage with people," he said, adding there was a need for the enterprises and the government to “listen” to the people and to each other. Asked if he was suggesting that GDP numbers, or numbers for that matter, do not generally reflect the wellbeing of the people, the 74-year-old management consultant asserted, “They do not." "We put into the GDP only what we can measure. So far we haven't spent hardly any time in measuring people's feeling of trust, people's feeling of well-being. We don't measure these things (but) we do measure the amount of factory produces," he lamented. In his recently released book "Listening For Well Being - Conversations with People Not Like Us", published by Rupa, Maira draws from his extensive experience as a leading strategist to emphasise that by listening deeply, especially to people who are "not like us", a more inclusive, just, harmonious and sustainable world can be created for everyone.

WEEKLY ASTRO TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR NIFTY

for the Week 30.10.2017 to 03.11.2017


Current week Trend is Decisive for the month

NIFTY : 10323 (+176)

Nifty traded in a range of 10125 to 10366 during last week and closed nearer to the high of the range for the week at 10323. Market had closed with a Positive outlook with a Gain 176 points (about 1.73%).

- The short term trend too is Bullish. It is Bullish both for Medium and Long term, However, Short term would become Bearish if Nifty comes and closes below 10100

- 20 DMA, 50DMA, 100DMA and 200 DMA are placed at about 10082, 9720, 9889 and 9452 respectively and would act as Supports and Resistances.

- Nifty continues to trade above the 200 DMA but below the 50 DMA and 50 DMA
has come above 200 DMA (Golden Cross has come more than Seven months ago) suggesting that the Long term outlook has become Bullish and Nifty continues to trade above all the moving averages and hence can be considered as Bullish .

Technical Levels...

Breakout level :10450 Breakdown level : 10200

Bullish above 10400 with Resistance at 10475, 10550

Bearish below 10250 with Supports at 10175, 10100.

Advice for Traders...

Weekly Open level is very important for the entire week. Long positions may be considered as long as it maintains above the Weekly open level.

---------------------------------

Planetary Position...

- Moon would be transiting from Sathabhisham 2 Pada in Aquarius to Revathi 2nd Pada in Aries.

- Sun transits from Swathi 2 nd Pada in Libra to Swathi 4 th Pada in Libra.

- Mercury transits in Visakha 2 nd Pada in Libra to Visakha 4 th Pada in Scorpio.

- Venus transits from Chitta 2 nd Pada in Virgo to Chitta 3 rd Pada in Libra.

- Mars transits in Hastha 1 st Pada in Virgo.

- Saturn transits in Moola 1 st Pada in Sagittarius and also moves in Aries Navamsa.

- Jupiter transits in Swathi 2 nd Pada in Libra and moves in Capricorn Navamsa.

- Rahu and Ketu move to Capricorn and Cancer and in Leo and Aquarius Navamsas,


During the current week, Moon would be transiting from Sathabhisham to Revathi Constellations between Aquarius and Pisces Raasis by Thursday and would form a Range and if this range is crossed on Friday, it would be Bullish and if the lower side of the range is broken, it would become further Bearish.

---------------------------------

Closing Hour Better (for Monday)


Tithi ::Karteeka Sukla Dasami

Nakshatra ::Sathanhisham

Persons born in Jyeshta, Aslesha and Revathi and those born in Pisces and Cancer are advised to be alert in their dealings.

Sensitive / Trend change Timings : 12.59

Likely Intraday Trend...

On the basis of planetary position and aspects amongst planets, Market is expected to open Subdued and remain Subdued from Opening till about 2.30 PM and remain Better thereafter till about Close of the day.

Astro Technical Trading Strategy...

If Nifty Fut. Trades below the Open/ATP level by about 9.30 AM , Short Positions can be taken with suitable SL, and such positions can be closed by about 2.00 PM. If Nifty fut trades Better above ATP by about 2.45PM, Long Positions can be taken with suitable SL and such positions can be closed byabout end of the day.

Technical Levels...
Resistance : 10365,10400 Support :10285,10250

----------------------------------------------
IF resistance levels are achieved in the forenoon session, buying may be avoided at higher levels and risky traders can consider short positon for a pull back to Bullish trigger level. IF Support levels are achieved in the forenoon session, selling may be avoided at lower levels and risky traders can consider buying for a pull back upto  Bearish trigger level / other support levels.

Intraday trend given above is relative and based purely on the basis of planetary positions / aspects and needs to be understood and astrological portion given above should be considered together and applied for taking proper trading decisions.

Disclaimer :: Intraday trading is risky and Astro guidance is to be depending on intra day movements, to be applied depending on the real time market movement. Used as an additional tool in addition to technicals. Investment decisions made on the above analysis would be at your own risk and I take no responsibility for your decisions based on the above analysis.'

Trade only with stop loss..

Stay Disciplined for Successful Trading and Investing..

Thursday, October 26, 2017

ASTRO TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR NIFTY

for October 27, 2017

First Half Better

Tithi ::Karteeka Sukla Ashtami

Nakshatra : Uttarashadha

Persons born in Aardra, Swathi and Sathabhisham and those  born in Aquarius and Gemini are advised to be alert in their dealings.

Sensitive / Trend change Timings :1.17PM

Likely Intraday Trend...

On the basis of planetary position and aspects amongst planets, Market is expected to open Subdued and remain Better from 9.40 AM and remain so till about 1.40 PM and remain Subdued thereafter till about Close of the day.

Astro Technical Trading Strategy for the day

If Nifty Fut. Trades above the Open/ATP level by about 9.45 AM , Long Positions can be taken with suitable SL, and such positions can be closed by about 1.30 PM. If Nifty fut trades Subdued below ATP by about 1.45PM , short Positions can be taken with suitable SL and such positions can be closed byabout end of the day.
Technical Levels...
Resistance : 10375,10410 Support :10305,10270
---------------------------------------
IF resistance levels are achieved in the forenoon session, buying may be avoided at higher levels and risky traders can consider short positon for a pull back to Bullish trigger level. IF Support levels are achieved in the forenoon session, selling may be avoided at lower levels and risky traders can consider buying for a pull back upto  Bearish trigger level / other support levels.

Intraday trend given above is relative and based purely on the basis of planetary positions / aspects and needs to be understood and astrological portion given above should be considered together and applied for taking proper trading decisions.

Disclaimer :: Intraday trading is risky and Astro guidance is to be depending on intra day movements, to be applied depending on the real time market movement. Used as an additional tool in addition to technicals. Investment decisions made on the above analysis would be at your own risk and I take no responsibility for your decisions based on the above analysis.'

Trade only with stop loss..

Stay Disciplined for Successful Trading and Investing..


Wednesday, October 25, 2017

ASTRO TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR NIFTY

 for October 26, 2017

Scrip Specific Movements


Tithi : Karteeka Sukla Sapthami

Nakshatra : Poorvashadha

Persons born in Mrigasira, Chitta and Dhanishta and those  born in Sagittarius and Aries are advised to be alert in their dealings.

Sensitive / Trend change Timings : 10.18AM

Likely Intraday Trend...

On the basis of planetary position and aspects amongst planets, Market is expected to open Better and remain so till about 10.50 AM and remain Subdued thereafter till about 12.50PM and remain Better thereafter till about 2.40 PM and remain Subdued thereafter .

Astro Technical Trading Strategy...

If Nifty Fut. Trades above the Open/ATP level by about 9.30 AM , Long Positions can be taken with suitable SL, and such positions can be closed by about 10.45 AM. If Nifty fut trades Subdued below ATP by about 11.00AM , short Positions can be taken with suitable SL and such positions can be closed byabout 12.45 PM. If Nifty fut trades above ATP by about 1.00 PM, Long postions can be taken with suitable SL, and such postions can be close by about 2.30 PM.

Technical Levels...
Resistance : 10335,10370 Support : 10255,10220
----------------------------------------------

IF resistance levels are achieved in the forenoon session, buying may be avoided at higher levels and risky traders can consider short positon for a pull back to Bullish trigger level. IF Support levels are achieved in the forenoon session, selling may be avoided at lower levels and risky traders can consider buying for a pull back upto  Bearish trigger level / other support levels.

Intraday trend given above is relative and based purely on the basis of planetary positions / aspects and needs to be understood and astrological portion given above should be considered together and applied for taking proper trading decisions.

Disclaimer :: Intraday trading is risky and Astro guidance is to be depending on intra day movements, to be applied depending on the real time market movement. Used as an additional tool in addition to technicals. Investment decisions made on the above analysis would be at your own risk and I take no responsibility for your decisions based on the above analysis.'

Trade only with stop loss..

Stay Disciplined for Successful Trading and Investing..



Monday, October 23, 2017

JIO TARIFF CICK FOR TELECOM STOCKS

Telecom stocks today surged up to 8 per cent after the recent increase in Reliance Jio tariffs, which is largely seen as positive for the sector. Shares of Bharti Airtel jumped 4.99 per cent to close at Rs 497.50 on BSE. Bharti Airtel was the biggest gainer among the 30-share index components. The scrip of Idea Cellular soared 7.74 per cent to end at Rs 98.15 and Reliance Communications zoomed 7.60 per cent to Rs 17.70. Reliance Jio made its service dearer by about 15 per cent for its popular 84-day plan at Rs 459 from October 19, under which subscribers get 1GB 4G data at high speed per day. The company restructured its various schemes by reducing their validity period. The recent increase in Reliance Jio tariffs will increase its average revenue per user by up to 20 per cent and is a positive for the telecom sector, which is seeing a rapid consolidation, says a Philip Capital report. Established telecom sector players have seen huge reduction in their margins. Idea Cellular and Reliance Communications first time reported consolidated loss mainly on account of free services launched by Jio. "The Indian telecom industry is seeing huge amount of consolidation and with decreasing choices for the subscribers the operators will compete on quality of service over the medium to long-term. This could mean sustained increase in ARPU over the medium to long-term. We are highly optimistic on the prospects of the Indian telecom industry," the report said. ARPU is average revenue per user.
SENSEX UP BY 117 POINTS
The benchmark BSE Sensex ended its three-day losing run to close higher by nearly 117 points or 0.36 per cent after a volatile trade on the back of gains in telecom, energy, oil & gas, banking and auto stocks. The 30-share index settled higher by 116.76 points or 0.36 per cent, at 32,506.72, driven by gains in Reliance Industries, Bharti Airtel, ICICI, HDFC Bank and Infosys. The broader Nifty of National Stock Exchange scaled the 10,200 mark intra day before closing at 10,184.85, showing a sizeable gain of 38.30 points, or 0.38 per cent. It shuttled between a high 10,224.15 and low of 10,124.50 in day trade.

Covering-up by speculators, who had been creating short positions, gave equities a push, a broker said. Sentiment also got a lift after Revenue Secretary Hasmukh Adhia suggested some rejig in GST rate structure to reduce the burden on small and medium businesses, brokers said. Besides, positive cues from Asian markets with the Japan's Nikkei posting the longest winning-streak of 15 days in its nearly 70-year history as markets cheered the weekend election victory of pro-business prime minister Shinzo Abe, had a positive impact, they said.

- After a long Diwali break, market commenced higher at 32,411.86 points, tracking a firm trend at Asian markets. But stocks quickly slipped into negative terrain to hit a low of 32,312.74 as participants booked profits at improved levels. However, revival of buying towards the middle of the session helped the index wipe out losses and touch a high of 32,614.89 before settling 0.36 per cent higher.

- Overall, in the last three straight sessions, the 30- share barometer had lost 243.68, including 194.39 points on the first day of Samvat 2074 in one-hour special 'Muhurat' session on Thursday on sustained foreign fund outflows.

- Buying activity was so strong that sectoral indices, led by telecom, energy, realty and oil and gas, ended in the green. Optimistic buying in some bluechip companies ahead of quarterly earnings to be released later this week too supported the rally.

- Among 30 Sensex scrips 16 ended higher while remaining 14 closed lower. Bharti Airtel emerged as top performer with 4.99 per cent rise, followed by Reliance Industries at 3.05 per cent. Other gainers that supported the rebound were ICICI Bank 1.82 per cent, Wipro 1.63 per cent, Adani Ports 1.36 per cent, Infosys 1.35 per cent, SBI 1.34 per cent, Hero MotoCorp 1.33 per cent, Coal India 1.31 per cent, Maruti Suzuki 1.07 per cent, Power Grid 1 per cent and Tata Steel 0.99 per cent.

- Among the laggards were Cipla, Axis Bank, Kotak Bank, HDFC Ltd, Lupin, Tata Motors, ITC Ltd, Hindustan Unilever, Bajaj Auto and L&T, falling up to 2.38 per cent.

- Sector-wise, telecom rose the most 2.82 per cent followed by energy 1.80 per cent, teck 1.26 per cent, realty 1.04 per cent, IT 0.90 per cent, Power 0.85 per cent, oil & gas 0.81 per cent and PSU 0.54 per cent. While, FMCG fell by 0.66 per cent, healthcare 0.64 per cent and capital goods 0.23 per cent.

The Nifty managed to end on a positive note, courtesy to smart buying in the latter half of the day.

- Sameet Chavan, Chief Analyst-Technical and Derivatives, Angel Broking.

Market regained after a weak start due to expectation of earnings growth and positive global growth. Telecom sector outperformed on value buying in expectation of normalisation of tariffs, consolidation in the industry, and better outlook on data usage.

- Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Financial Services Ltd.

ASTRO TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR NIFTY

for October 24, 2017

Mid Session Better

Tithi ::Karteeka Sukla Panchami

Nakshatra ::Jyeshta

Persons born in Krittika, Uttara and Uttarashadha and those  born in Sagittarius and Aries are advised to be alert in their dealings.

Sensitive / Trend change Timings : 10.58AM

Likely Intraday Trend...

On the basis of planetary position and aspects amongst planets, Market is expected to open Subdued and remain so till about 10.45 AM and remain Better  thereafter till about 2.35PM and become Subdued thereafter .

Astro Technical Trading Strategy...

If Nifty Fut. Trades above the Open/ATP level by about 11 AM , Long Positions can be taken with suitable SL, and such positions can be closed by about 2.30 AM.
Technical Levels...
Resistance : 10225,10260 Support :10145,10110
-----------------------------------------
IF resistance levels are achieved in the forenoon session, buying may be avoided at higher levels and risky traders can consider short positon for a pull back to Bullish trigger level. IF Support levels are achieved in the forenoon session, selling may be avoided at lower levels and risky traders can consider buying for a pull back upto  Bearish trigger level / other support levels.

Intraday trend given above is relative and based purely on the basis of planetary positions / aspects and needs to be understood and astrological portion given above should be considered together and applied for taking proper trading decisions.

Disclaimer :: Intraday trading is risky and Astro guidance is to be depending on intra day movements, to be applied depending on the real time market movement. Used as an additional tool in addition to technicals. Investment decisions made on the above analysis would be at your own risk and I take no responsibility for your decisions based on the above analysis.'

Trade only with stop loss..

Stay Disciplined for Successful Trading and Investing..


Sunday, October 22, 2017

RISK IS THRILLING FOR SOME INVESTORS

When investors hear the line that certain 'investments are subject to market risks', it means 'danger or loss' for most of them, but a few associate the word 'risk' with 'thrill or opportunity' as well. These are the findings of a new survey, commissioned by capital markets regulator Sebi, which also found that investors worry more about market risks like volatility and financial losses rather than operational risks such as corporate governance issues and insider trading. Risk, returns and liquidity perceptions demonstrates that while individual retail investors are surprisingly rational about certain aspects of financial decision-making, they can also be completely irrational regarding a number of other market aspects. The word 'risk' itself has different meanings for various investors. When the word 'risk' is mentioned, 'danger' is the first word that comes to the minds of 33 per cent of the investors surveyed and 23 per cent think of 'loss' while yet another 20 per cent think of it as 'uncertainty', as per the survey. Perceptions that risk can be thrilling (16 per cent) or can lead to opportunities (8 per cent) are limited to less than a quarter of the investor base. According to investor perceptions, volatility is the most important 'problem' associated with the stock markets while the fear of losing money and the lack of guaranteed returns are also primary reasons of concern. It seems that investors are interested in participating in the securities markets and yet hope to avoid any market risk. On the other hand, they are willing to ignore non- systematic or operational risks like corporate governance issues, potential accounting fraud or trading on inside information, and thus, show a biased view of risk of financial securities. The survey was commissioned in 2015 and got completed last year, while its results were released today by the capital markets regulator. Nielsen, a global leader in primary research, has conducted and analysed this Sebi survey. Sebi said the survey first listed a set of 2,04,694 households and basic information about demographics, income, savings and investments were collected. In the second step, a subset of 50,453 amongst these listed households were chosen to conduct the final survey. The data was used to create an estimate of the total number of investing households at the end of 2015.

According to the survey, just 15 per cent respondents participate in the securities market. Interestingly, middle- income groups save more as a percentage of their annual income than the highest income groups. Primary motivation for investing is capital gains, closely followed by lifestyle improvement plans. Even among households that invest, it is education and occupation and not factors such as age, household size or marital status that are primary drivers. It said that 23 per cent of government employees surveyed and only 11 per cent of private employees are investors. Besides, 17.5 per cent business owners are also investors. While 15 per cent of survey participants are investors, just 18 per cent of these have invested in initial public offers (IPOs). Thus, a mere 3 per cent of all survey participants have invested in IPOs. Over 72 per cent of regular IPO investors find the IPO process challenging. The book building process, the time taken for allocation and the handing over of cheques are the most critical roadblocks. Newspapers and television continue to be the top two sources of IPO-related news. The survey said that perceptions of risk, returns and liquidity about investment instruments are not always in line with their actual risk/return/liquidity profile. Due to a lack of awareness about less popular instruments, investors perceive debentures and bonds to be at a higher risk than mutual funds and equities. Most market participants focus on the secondary markets alone, except depository participants (DPs) who usually participate in both. Unsurprisingly, DPs also have the largest customer base, with brokers following them in size, while most authorised persons and mutual fund agents have a smaller customer base. Most market participants (63 per cent) are in business for over 10 years, while 32 percent are in it between 5 to 10 years. The numbers vary by segment, with nearly all (98 per cent) depository participants and only 51 per cent sub-brokers and mutual fund agents are in the business for over 10 years. Market participants' perceptions of risk, returns and time horizons for plain vanilla instruments like equities, mutual funds and bonds are in line with reality. The survey said that newspapers are the most visible source of communication from the Sebi. Overall awareness levels concerning rules and regulations pertaining to the securities markets are high among the investor community.

NIFTY FORECAST for SAMVAT-2074 (Deewali to Deewali)

VOLATILE AND SCRIP SPECIFIC MOVEMENTS

Samvat  2073 has ended the year at a  level of 10211  (up from 8638 last year) recording  a rise  of just about  18%.Metal, FMCG,Infra,Bank, Auto stocks have done well during the year and only Pharma stocks had given a negative return. From Jamuary 2018 onwards market will take a turn.

Samvat Year 2074 rises in Cancer Lagna with luminaries (Sun and Moon) and Mercury and Jupiter placed in 4th and Mars and Venus in 3 rd in Virgo and Saturn placed in 5th in Scorpio and Rahu and Ketu placed in Cancer and Capricorn. All planets transiting in between Rahu and Ketu. On the basis of Planetary position at the time of Diwali (New year) and the transiting planets during the year the following indications are available astrologically.
Resistance Levels...

10340. 10570, 10700,11150,11500, 11900

Support Levels...

9870,9710,9560,9215,8880

While global cues, FII inflows and Government policies including Monetary policy of the central bank, Business environment, Currency fluctuation are expected to play pivotal role in shaping the economy and in turn stock market, Forthcoming year will be mainly influenced by Governmental Reform Push , which can be expected to be generally favourable.

Fundamentally too, Nifty EPS has remained steady at around 390 only while PE had gone up from 23.34 to 25.94 during the year. During the year Nifty had made a new high and Bank NPAs had gone up substantially and economy needs to be reshaped. If next year’s rate of growth improves, PE multiple would go up Based on the expected growth, Nifty can be expected to be between 1009900 and 11700 based on conservative and optimistic estimates by next Diwali. In view of the proactive Government and the reform push, buying is recommended on every reasonable decline.

The following period can be expected to be with Volatile movements...

- 3rd December to 23 rd December, 2017

- 23 rd March 2018 to 15 April 2018

- 26 th July 2018 to 19 th August 2018

Important dates / period to watch in this Year based on time cycles...

27.10.17; 13.12.17; 24.12.17; 13.2.18; 15.4.18; 9.6.18; 1.7.18; 3.09.18; 21.9.18; 24.10.18; 17.02.18; 01.04.18; 6.6.18; 09.8.18 ;21.9.18; 09.1.18; 26.10.18; 27.6.18; 24.8.18; 09.3.18;10.7.18; 18.4.18;6.9.18;6.10.18; 30.10.18

Sensitive dates based on important aspects between slow moving planets...

November :; 8,11,15
December :: 5,14,24
January ::4,18,20,29
February ::6,7,26
March ::9,16,23
April ::1,22,29
May ::19
June ::15,6
July :: 1,12,10
August ::26,9
September :: 3,21,6
October :: 6,24,26,30
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Performance of various sectoral indices over the last One year
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Index                     Samvat 2073                  Samvat 2072          % Raise
Nifty                        10211                              8638                       18.21%
Bank Nifty              24314                            19556                       24.32%
IT Index                  10910                             10087                         8.15%
Auto                        11168                             10056                        11.06%
FMCG                     25684                             21548                      19.16%
Infra                            3413                               2870                        18.92%
Metal                          3854                               2678                        43.91%
Pharma                      9623                             11572            Minus 16.84%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WEEKLY ASTRO TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR NIFTY

Recovery towards Weekend

Outlook for the Week 23.10.2017 to 27.10.2017

NIFTY :: 10,147 (- 20)

Nifty traded in a range of 10252 to 10123 during last week and closed nearer to the Low of the range for the week at 10147 with a Loss of 20 Points. Market had closed with a slight negative outlook.

- The short term  trend is also Bullish. It is Bullish both  for Medium and Long term, Short term would become Bearish  if Nifty comes and closes below  10075   

- 20 DMA, 50DMA, 100DMA and 200 DMA are placed at about 9992, 9957, 9856 and 9400 respectively and would act as Supports and Resistances.

- Nifty continues to trade above the 200 DMA and also above the 50 DMA and 50 DMA has come above 200 DMA (Golden Cross has come more than Eight months ago) suggesting that the Long term outlook has become Bullish and Nifty continues to trade above all the moving averages and it is at the nearly at the highest level ever.

Technical Levels...

Bullish above 10220 with Resistance at 10300, 10375

Bearish below 10075 with Supports at 10000, 9925

Breakout level : 10250 Breakdown level : 10100

Advice for Traders...

Weekly Open level is very important for the entire week. Long positions may be considered as long as it maintains above the Weekly open level.


Planetary Position...

- Moon would be transiting from Anuradha 4 th Pada in Scorpio to Ushadha 3 rd Pada in Capricorn.

- Sun transits from Chitta 4 th Pada in Libra to Swathi 2 nd Pada in Libra.

- Mercury transits in Swathi 3 rd Pada in Libra to Visakha 1 st Pada in Libra.

- Venus transits from Hastha 3 rd Pada in Virgo to Hastha 4 th Pada in Virgo.

- Mars transits in Uttara 3 rd Pada to Uttara 4 th Pada in Vigo .

- Saturn moves from Jyeshta 4 th Pada in Scorpio to Moola 1 st Pada in Sagittarius and also moves from Pisces Navamsa to Aries Navamsa.

- Jupiter transits in Swathi 1 st Pada in Libra and moves in Sagittarius Navamsa.

- Rahu and Ketu move to Cancer and Capricorn and in Aquarius and Leo Navamsas,

During the last week, Moon transited from Sathabhisham to Revathi Constellations between Aquarius and Pisces Raasis and crossed the Upper Range and Since the High range is crossed and also it has nearly almost achieved the Second range of the Target. Next Week, Market would transit between Aquarius and Pisces.
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IF resistance levels are achieved in the forenoon session, buying may be avoided at higher levels and risky traders can consider short positon for a pull back to Bullish trigger level. IF Support levels are achieved in the forenoon session, selling may be avoided at lower levels and risky traders can consider buying for a pull back upto  Bearish trigger level / other support levels.

Intraday trend given above is relative and based purely on the basis of planetary positions / aspects and needs to be understood and astrological portion given above should be considered together and applied for taking proper trading decisions.

Disclaimer :: Intraday trading is risky and Astro guidance is to be depending on intra day movements, to be applied depending on the real time market movement. Used as an additional tool in addition to technicals. Investment decisions made on the above analysis would be at your own risk and I take no responsibility for your decisions based on the above analysis.'

Trade only with stop loss..

Stay Disciplined for Successful Trading and Investing..



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ఈక్విటీ మార్కెట్లో  స్మాల్ క్యాప్, మిడ్ క్యాప్ స్టాక్ ల గురించి చింతించ‌వ‌ల‌సిన అవ‌స‌రం లేద‌ని విశ్లేష‌కులంటున్నారు. ఇటీవ‌ల కాలంలో స్మాల్ క్...