Tuesday, December 17, 2013

NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 18th DECEMBER

RBI POLICY HOLDS KEY

Market has been falling for the last Six  days in a row and is with bearish bias ahead crucial events (domestic RBI Policy and US FOMC meet). As Market has been falling for the last Six days, a reasonable pullback can be expected technically and the outcome of these events would provide the direction.  Sell on Rise policy may be followed by traders with a stop loss of 6225 on close basis. Nifty spot is expected to encounter resistance at 6180, 6215 and find support at 6100, 6065, for Wednesday. While Global cues and  Funds flow  are expected to broadly guide the market movement, based on the present market position,  market is expected to be influenced by the RBI Policy and a rate hike of more than 0.25% would be negative and upto 0.25% would be in line with market expectation. However, market movement ahead of Policy has been bearish and market appears to have factored in the possible negatives and any unexpected positive surprise could spring a surprise.
Nifty                               6139     -16

Review for Tuesday, 17th December, 2013 ::  Continued Bearishness ..!!

Markets fell for the Sixth day in succession and closed with a minor decline . Pharma, FMCG, Media and Infra indices gained while Bank Nifty, Energy, Realty  indices declined. 24 of Nifty stocks gained and broader market too was  marginally negative with Advance Decline ratio placed at 1:1.2. Ranbaxy, Bhrti, Cipla, Sun Pharma, NMDC, SSLT gained while HDFC Bank, Coal India NTPC, HDFC, Bajaj Auto  remained major losers among Nifty stocks. HDFC and HDFC Bank were the major contributors for the negative close of markets.

RBI Policy on Wednesday and FOMC meet later would be the main drivers for the market and market appears cautious ahead of the same with bearish bias.

Among F&O stocks,  Ranbaxy, Bharti, Mc Leod, Divis Lab and PTC       remained  major gainers  while HDFC Bank, IOB, Indai Cememnt, Syndicate Bank, JP Power        remained  losers.

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