Skip to main content

RAINS WILL BE BELOW NORMAL

INDIAN METEOROLOGICAL  DEPARTMENT SOUNDS ALERT



After four years of normal and above normal monsoon, India is expected to have below normal Monsoon this year with rainfall projected to be 95 per cent, a news which is disappointing for the farming community. Officials in the weather department said the monsoon is expected to be below normal because of the El-Nino effect, which is generally associated with the warming of ocean water. "The monsoon seasonal rainfall is likely to be 95 per cent of the Long Period average with an error of plus or minus 5 percent," the Meterological Department said in a statement here.

El Nino refers to the warmer-than-average sea surface temperature in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean. This condition occurs every 4-12 years and had last impacted India's monsoon in 2009, leading to the worst drought in almost four decades. The rainfall between 90-96 percent is catergorised as below normal and rainfall between 96-104 per cent is termed as normal rainfall.

The forecast for 2014 comes after the country witnessed four straight years of normal monsoon and bumper harvest. Last year, the Met department had forecast 98 per cent rainfall but it exceeded and the country received over 106 per cent rainfall. Monsoon is crucial for agriculture, particularly the kharif crops such as rice, soyabean, cotton and maize because almost 60 per cent of the farm land in the country is rainfed. "Latest forecast from a majority of the models also indicate warming trend in the sea surface temperature over the equatorial Pacific reaching to El-Nino level during the South-west monsoon with a probablity of around 60 per cent," the IMD said. With the Model Code of Conduct in place, the MET department did not hold the customary press conference, but instead posted the monsoon-related information on its website.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

JIO TARIFF CICK FOR TELECOM STOCKS

Telecom stocks today surged up to 8 per cent after the recent increase in Reliance Jio tariffs, which is largely seen as positive for the sector. Shares of Bharti Airtel jumped 4.99 per cent to close at Rs 497.50 on BSE. Bharti Airtel was the biggest gainer among the 30-share index components. The scrip of Idea Cellular soared 7.74 per cent to end at Rs 98.15 and Reliance Communications zoomed 7.60 per cent to Rs 17.70. Reliance Jio made its service dearer by about 15 per cent for its popular 84-day plan at Rs 459 from October 19, under which subscribers get 1GB 4G data at high speed per day. The company restructured its various schemes by reducing their validity period. The recent increase in Reliance Jio tariffs will increase its average revenue per user by up to 20 per cent and is a positive for the telecom sector, which is seeing a rapid consolidation, says a Philip Capital report. Established telecom sector players have seen huge reduction in their margins. Idea Cellular and Reli…

STOCK MARKET WELCOME NEW YEAR WITH LOSS

Sensex drops 244 pts
A late sell-off in auto, banking and IT shares pulled back the benchmark BSE Sensex from record high level to close down by 244 points, its biggest single loss in past one month, on the first trading day of 2018. Investors preferred to book profits at record highs amid concerns over fiscal slippages and rising crude oil prices and absence of cues from global markets which were closed for the New Year holiday. The benchmark Sensex touched a low of 33,766.15 before settling lower by 244.08 points, or 0.72 per cent, at 33,812.75. This is the biggest single-day fall since December 1 when the index had lost 316.41. The 30-share index had closed at an all-time high of 34,056.83 in the last session of 2017 on Friday. Also, the 50-share Nifty cracked below the 10,500-mark to hit a low of 10,423.10 before settling 95.15 points, or 0.90 per cent down at 10,435.55. Stocks opened on a weak note and remained range-bound for the better part of the day but an intense sell-off in…

NIFTY EARNINGS FLAT IN 2018

UBS Cautious Note

Projecting zero returns from the Nifty, Swiss brokerage UBS has projected a 10 per cent cut in its index target at 10,500 for calendar 2018, even as it remains positive over the long-term. "Top-down, we forecast Nifty earnings growth will recover from 9 per cent in fiscal 2018 to 13 per cent in 2019, but driven largely by financials," the brokerage said in a report. "However, earnings growth is likely to disappoint against consensus forecast of 22 per cent growth for fiscal 2019, implying a 10 per cent cut," it added. Accordingly, the brokerage estimates "no returns from the Nifty in 2018" and has set the index target at 10,500 for this December. The report noted that a sharp earnings recovery, with continued robust macro stability appears priced in by the markets. "A sharp earnings recovery appears priced in. The markets are already close to our 2018 target, given optimistic fiscal 2019 consensus earnings expectations, which build …